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Game 2 Recap: Scola, Ariza fuel Rockets' 108-107 victory over Golden State

Boxscore

Game Analysis

It's easy to say that there were two Rockets teams on the floor in Oakland last night.  But when you think about it, the only difference between the two was whether or not the shots were falling.

Since when do the Houston Rockets more than double the total number of three point shot attempts of the Golden State Warriors?  Matter of fact, since when does anyone double-up Nellie's crew from behind the arc?  Evidently, the Rockets are going to live and die from behind the arc.

Star-divide

That said, there is a difference between shooting threes and chucking threes.  The value of using the post to open up outside shots was on full display in the third quarter, when the Rockets made 11 straight shots, many from behind the arc.  Sending the ball into Carl Landry or Luis Scola opened up the kick-out pass, and when the Warriors rotated, the recipient would swing the ball to the open man on the wing or in the corner.  Things like this work against a Warriors team that rarely rotates a second or third time effectively.

As good a shooter as you are, you cannot love the three point shot; instead, you must use it when available.  As the game wore on, the Rockets ceased loving and chucking and began using the open three to their advantage.  Chase Budinger and Aaron Brooks caught fire in the second half because when they shot, they were set and open.  Nothing was forced.  And we all knew Scola had it in him.  

While much of the attention of last night's victory will be placed on the outside shooting, it was the offense in the paint that managed to both excite and concern me.  Excitement: David Andersen looks like he's been in the NBA for years.  His post moves are fluid and precise - you can trust him when he has the ball on the block.  Concern: Big Dave only took three shots in eight minutes of playing time.  He made all three.  Perhaps when Adelman feels that Dave can manage defensively, he will give him more PT.

Another cause for excitement?  Trevor Ariza's assertiveness on the baseline drive.  He attacked the rim constantly, and if Anthony Randolph is talented enough to block the shot of a crazy athlete flying towards the rim, then more power to him.  Concern?  Ariza turned the ball over six times, and many of those came on the drive.  There's a clear difference in a guy like Tracy McGrady and Ariza, and it's in their ability to dribble in traffic.  McGrady's so good at it that you barely even notice.  He's a machine in the lane, maneuvering his arms and legs perfectly through defenders.  Ariza doesn't maintain the same ball control, and often takes one dribble too much or simply loses possession.

Despite Ariza's mechanical issues, the point is that he is asserting himself, something he really hasn't done before.  He's making the effort to improve and expand upon his current style of play.  It will take plenty of time to work out the kinks, and I'm okay with that.

Aaron Brooks quietly had a career-high twelve assists to go along with eighteen points.  Chase Budinger shot well, doing what he does best in catching and shooting.  For the most part, I'm satisfied with everyone's individual play, aside from Kyle Lowry, who was a tad bit too bulldog-ish in the lane.  There's no need to be so blindly reckless.

To add to that note, there was a sense of recklessness surrounding the Rockets' play from the get-go.  It seemed like everyone was out of control, that whoever caught the ball on the perimeter was determined to throw himself into the Warrior defense, and then once in the air surrounded by white jerseys, quickly decide what to do from there.  That's no good.  It's one thing to play up-tempo, but it's quite another deal to run into a burning building of defenders without devising an escape plan first.

All in all, it was a good first win.  The three-point shooting and the fourteen steals were especially impressive, as were the free throw shooting numbers (16-20).  It's off to Houston for the Rockets for their home opener against Portland.

Three Up:

Trevor Ariza -- His offensive outburst from the start kept the Rockets in the game.  25 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists.

Luis Scola -- Had a great third quarter that helped to give the Rockets a lead heading into the fourth.  21 points, 11 rebunds, 1-1 from three (haha!).

Chase Budinger -- Did his job effectively, hitting three 3-point shots in the second half that stabilized the Rockets' lead.  11 points, 2 rebounds, 3-6 from deep.

Three Down:

Kyle Lowry -- Never drove with much of a purpose.  Had two turnovers and four fouls in 16 minutes.

Carl Landry -- 10/6 isn't bad, but you'd like to see that perimeter jumper start to fall like it did last season.

Paint Defense in the First Half -- Golden State got way too many easy looks inside to start the game.  Luckily, the Rockets shored up the fault and played good second-half D.

Next Game: Saturday vs. Portland

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I’m watching a replay of this game right now.

I was following the score at work last night. (I work 3rd shift)
I’m very glad they were able to come from behind and win the game.
Makes watching the replay a whole lot easier…

I had to stop arguing with drunks, Steeler fans, and all other fools.
It was making my brick wall jealous...

by steeler-hater on Oct 29, 2009 7:37 AM CDT reply actions  

1st quarter was just damn right ugly. the only bright side was trevor ariza. but even that wasn’t too bright. he had 4 turnovers. but as the game progressed the rockets looked more fluent. they had a lot of turnovers in the open court but i guess that’s to be expected from a team that ran a half court offense last season.
and i’m starting to really like stephon curry. he is a great scorer, passer, and ball handler. was great for his 1st game.

by Air Korea on Oct 29, 2009 8:02 AM CDT reply actions  

is this good or bad?

I like that Trevor Ariza wants to assert himself more in the offense…

but I do NOT like that he has to take 21 shots to get 25 points (and let’s not forget about the 6 turnovers). The dude has limitations, and it’s like everyone is just ignoring that.

He’s great at spot up shooting.
He’s great at a one-dribble attack to the rim.
He’s very good finishing a baseline move.

….

but he’s terrible at dribbling around people.
he’s terrible trying to shoot off the dribble.
he’s terrible trying to go to the basket from the top of the key (this was like 4 of his turnovers … G.S. just swarmed him every time).

I just hope these are things he can improve on. I really do.

other thoughts:

1. Chase Budinger looked far more athletic than he ever did in college.
2. When 1 in 3 rebounds is an offensive rebound, we need to fix that. Immediately.
3. Welcome back to our expectations, Mr. Scola!

by grungedave on Oct 29, 2009 9:25 AM CDT reply actions  

but I do NOT like that he has to take 21 shots to get 25 points

Counting his FTA as possessions, that’s an offensive efficiency of 109. That’s not spectacular or anything, but it’s pretty good.

(and let’s not forget about the 6 turnovers)

If you want to criticize Ariza, this is where it needs to be done, I think. Ignoring his turnovers, Ariza’s stats look really good. With the turnovers, much less so. But he was doing a lot of work in the passing lanes and did many good non-stat things for the team. Overall, I think he had a good game. I don’t think it’s that people are just “ignoring” Ariza’s problems, it’s just the recognition that he does many more good things than bad, even with the turnovers.

Still, I think he needs to work on his motion off the ball in the offense. That sucked last night.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 29, 2009 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not sure why 4 free throw attempts

makes his efficiency suddenly “pretty good”. 25 pts for 21 shots I would call “okay” efficiency. If he’s going to take 25% of our shots, I’d like to see him get over 30. At least he hit a good % of his threes, which is one of his primary roles on offense.

by goingforthecorner on Oct 29, 2009 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

it makes it pretty good

because an offensive efficiency of around 1.09 points per shot is about .09 above league average.

Now, if you want to take out his free throw attempts, then he had a 1.18 efficiency score. But that’s not accurate, because those free throw attempts were the result of possessions.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 29, 2009 1:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah.

I’m not calculating anything particularly interesting here, just shot efficiency. So, no, it’s not real “offensive efficiency” since I didn’t take into account to’s, nor am I weighting assists. Ariza had a good game, his shooting was fairly efficient, but he needs to work on things.

by Only_A_Lad on Nov 1, 2009 12:02 AM CDT up reply actions  

there were.....

alot of non calls on ariza last night that would have sent him to the line, especially on one of his last drives, biebitch got away with a big time push. his points would have been more if more of those calls actually made it out of the refs mouth.

"Waiting for the return of the Mac"
"Let VY loose, give him the chance to play his heart out. for himself, for the titans...and for mcnair"
"Titans & Texans fan, dont bug me w/your petty b.s., life's confusing enough."

by kg_2005 on Oct 29, 2009 3:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

Golden State also drew a couple of questionable charging calls on Ariza (of course, charges are almost always questionable calls). If those are non calls, or called blocking instead, Ariza’s TO’s are cut down and he gets a few more free throws.

"Horton is win." -Horvil Tiki 4/13/2009
Jedi McD is my hero.

by jack_ on Oct 29, 2009 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ariza

I think, two games in, we can be pleased with what we are seeing from Ariza. The GSW feature a lot of guys who are going to give Ariza problems on his drive – yet he wasn’t bad even so.

I think he’s in a place right now where statistical analysis is of little help, and we have to trust the evidence of our eyes more. He’s trying to become a first or second option offensively, after being the 4th option for LA. From what I’ve seen thus far, he’s making progress. He’s never going to make us forget TMac driving to the rim, but he drew fouls and got points, and still played pretty good D.

With more data, we can see if his efficiency is surviving his increased usage. The sample size is too small now to tell us much.

If the Red Nation apparatchiks start talking about a Five Year Plan, I'm out of here.

by Xiane on Oct 29, 2009 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

let's not get carried away here

“He’s great at spot up shooting”
The guy made 76 3-pointers in his 5 NBA seasons. He has never shot better than 33% a season. Yes, Ariza had a nice postseason last year and, yes, the (very) early results here are encouraging enough for me to hope that he can be a dangerous spot-up shooter. And with his size and athleticism, that is indeed a nice tool to have.

But several Rockets (Brooks, Battier, Cook, even McGrady) have a better 3-point-shooting history, and Brooks is the only one in that group that I think may be “great.” (Budinger may be another, but he has no history).

by Metalate on Oct 29, 2009 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

uhhhh

“Spot up shooting” =/= “long-distance shooting”

When Ariza is able to stand still, and a ball is passed directly to him in shooting motion, he’s quite accurate. When he has to create his own shot or does a step-back 3, he’s terrible. Thus we arrive at your statistic there.

by grungedave on Oct 30, 2009 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions  

the reason Budinger looks so much better

Than he did in college speaks to the horrible UA offensive scheme. He ran about 10 miles a game while playing with shoot first point guards.He was physically worn down. Now in limited minutes he can run the break and someone actually passes him the ball when he cuts to the basket. Imagine that! He can finish well with either hand and can throw it down off the lob so he should be a good contributor if he gets 15-20 minutes per game.

by Duck99 on Oct 29, 2009 10:01 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Yes, I firmly believe we got a lottery pick caliber player for very little indeed.

The UA system was, as you say, bad for him, and UA was just broken, to boot. These sorts of things shouldn’t matter to an experienced pro, but he’s not one. He’s a college kid, and they do matter.

If the Red Nation apparatchiks start talking about a Five Year Plan, I'm out of here.

by Xiane on Oct 29, 2009 1:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, even though he was a scorer in HS and College he's really a smart player who has

a team first attitude. Very coachable, high basketball IQ. Look at his UA teammate Jerryd Bayless who was a high lottery pick by Portland last year. DNP coach’s decision in that first game. He hogged the ball at UA just like Nic Wise did last year and Marcus Williams did during Chase’s freshman year. Not to mention 3 different head coaches in 3 years.

He’ll never be a go to scorer, but he can shoot the lights out and he can finish around the basket. If he continues to work (which I have no doubt he will) and plays in a system where he’s a 3rd of 4th option he could easily put up 15-18 points per game if he gets 25 minutes a game.

by Duck99 on Oct 29, 2009 4:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

Maybe its just me

but I always thought Budinger was athletic. I saw highlights of him at Zona making really athletic dunks and always shooting lights out. Or maybe he just looked athletic because i didnt expect to see a white boy with a blonde fro throwing it down.

he can shoot the lights out and he can finish around the basket

Is it just me or does that sound alot like Von Wafer? I think right now Wafer and Buds are very similar players but due to the fact that Buds is a rookie i feel like he will put in effort to get better defensively (unlike Von) and will actually pass the ball (again, unlike Von) because he knows he can be passed by Jermaine Taylor real quickly.

by TexasHoosier on Oct 29, 2009 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

but

difference is that Chase already looks like he can play solid D.

There were times when he was quite good guarding Brandon Roy and Monta Ellis in the first two games. Not getting embarrassed against those guys is a HUGE plus.

by grungedave on Oct 30, 2009 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Huge win on the road

I firmly believe we will win an extremely high percentage of our home games, as we showed last year against the Lakers. I was worried that on the road we would put up lottery-type performances, just like last year. We played a respectful game against Portland and took care of a high tempo Warriors team on the 2nd day of a back to back on their home opener. Impressive.

From here, I expect to split the next two games. Win at home vs Portland, lose @ Utah, then we host the Lakers. Really looking forward to that game.

Either way, Barkley’s prediction of us having the worst record in the West is already looking laughable.

by goingforthecorner on Oct 29, 2009 12:52 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm pretty sure a few games over 500 won't be the worst record in the West ;)

If the Red Nation apparatchiks start talking about a Five Year Plan, I'm out of here.

by Xiane on Oct 29, 2009 1:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

I am not entirely sure we can win 41 games this season given how loaded the Western Conference is.

The more games the Rockets play this season, the scouting will get better on how to face this ragtag group of Rockets. The margin of error for this team gets smaller as the season progresses. I am yet to see a lot of back-cuts that Adelman had tremendous success with, when he was in Sacramento. The team is moving in the right direction, but it remains to be seen if this team can forge an identity as a team that plays hard defense, and a rather fluid offense. A lot might hinge on Anderson’s ability to quickly adapt to the NBA defense. Then he can be an excellent high post option, that can somewhat nullify the height advantage of the opposing teams. If Anderson plays good enough defense to start in Dec/Jan, then the team might have a chance to make it to post-season.

For this team to succeed, four or five players should have double digit scoring every night to maintain a level of unpredictability in the offense, and the second unit to be nearly as effective as the first unit. I am hoping that the Rockets are up to the challenge.

Kari

by Kari on Oct 29, 2009 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

very good points.

The Dream Shake ...on Twitter.
"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak

by Tom Martin on Oct 29, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

I like Barkley as a commentator, but he would be an awful GM

I heard him today on some show and he said he didn’t have the patience for coaching but thinks trades and the draft would “be fun”. When the “patience” word comes out that means he wants to watch a few games on TV and make decisions based on that rather than 12 hours a day of breaking down film, talking to coaches, watching practice etc. kind of like MJ in Washington and Charlotte. I can’t think of too many star players who made great GM’s other than Jerry West who was so obsessed with winning that it drove him from the game.

by Duck99 on Oct 29, 2009 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

oh yeah

he’d be terrible (I’m sorry, turruhbull). He doesn’t have that sort of drive. And when combined with his penchant for saying stupid shit, he’d be Isaiah Thomas II. To be fair, MJ was basically the same as Isaiah, but the media loved him too much to say it.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 29, 2009 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

You're wrong. Isaiah was only an asshole sometimes, MJ is an asshole all the time.

If the Red Nation apparatchiks start talking about a Five Year Plan, I'm out of here.

by Xiane on Oct 29, 2009 6:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

too true

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 29, 2009 7:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

its just good to know....

that when i see our rox hustling, not giving up, i can tell myself….there they go (when they seem to disappear for a little bit).

ariza is going to get better with time in his new role, which i think he can fill, i mean come on his second game as a rocket and hes already got 25 pts. albeit it took some shots, but its early, i did see some shades of playmaking that i hope will grow. ABZ needs to be our PG of the future, ive been saying it for a while, he can be one of the elite PG’s in the league, did ya see that sweet layup that put (morrow i think) on his ass trying to block, that was tony parker-esque….na fuck that…that’s all aaron being aaron. scola came out of his shell, good time for that 3. landry is starting to come around slowly, i agree, i still want to see alot of those outside shots start to fall. andersen is a pleasant surprise, showed some post up skills and looks like he will be able to put the ball in the hoop. ive got more but dont wanna blow this place up, 2 games in, improvements need to be made for sure but its good to know were still going to play hard. cant wait for round 2 with the blazers.

"Waiting for the return of the Mac"
"Let VY loose, give him the chance to play his heart out. for himself, for the titans...and for mcnair"
"Titans & Texans fan, dont bug me w/your petty b.s., life's confusing enough."

by kg_2005 on Oct 29, 2009 3:42 PM CDT reply actions  

Since when do the Houston Rockets more than double the total number of three point shot attempts of the Golden State Warriors? Matter of fact, since when does anyone double-up Nellie’s crew from behind the arc?

You know, this was my immediate reaction as well, but then I got curious. If you look at last year, the Rockets had 1656 attempts from three-point territory; the Warriors had 1475.

And last year the Warriors’ opponents had 1531 attempts. Of course, if you look past last season, Nellie’s reputation rings true – the Warriors routinely shot more than 2000 3’s in previous seasons. That probably had a lot to do with Golden State’s injuries last year, but it’s still kind of interesting.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 29, 2009 4:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Can you imagine just how good this team would be right now if…

… they had a healthy Yao & a healthy T-Mac?

They look to me to be maybe a 40 win team without those 2 guys, barring any more big injuries.

I had to stop arguing with drunks, Steeler fans, and all other fools.
It was making my brick wall jealous...

by steeler-hater on Oct 29, 2009 10:31 PM CDT reply actions  

IMO....

i really want to see what we can do when tmac comes back, despite what alot of ppl say, a healthy tmac is a very good borderline great player. and this is a more talented team then the team he led against the jazz that year yao went out. just hope he comes back actually healthy and doesnt try to push it, and that his head is on straight.

"Waiting for the return of the Mac"
"Let VY loose, give him the chance to play his heart out. for himself, for the titans...and for mcnair"
"Titans & Texans fan, dont bug me w/your petty b.s., life's confusing enough."

by kg_2005 on Oct 30, 2009 1:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

I loved the hustle in this game

but I just think we lost a lot more on D than we can make up for. Without Yao and Mutumbo in there, have you seen how many dunks we’ve given up alone in the first 2 games!?

by fiddycent on Oct 29, 2009 11:28 PM CDT reply actions  

Missing the Rockets

Can’t watch rockets games is Colorado, it kinda sucks.

and Tom:

 “As good a shooter as you are, you cannot love the three point shot; instead, you must use it when available”

Im not so sure Coach Sanders agrees with that statement…

by Matthew T on Oct 30, 2009 1:54 AM CDT reply actions  

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