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Saturday Morning Rockets and NBA Links

The biggest news, of course, is that the Rockets' home opener is tonight. Our conquering heroes (well, they conquered Oracle Arena, anyways) return to the Toyota Center for the first time since May. I envy all of you who will be there.

On that note: obviously the Rockets didn't play last night, so there's very little in the way of real Rockets news. However, the NBA rolls on.

Star-divide

For the first time in a while, your Rockets are tied for first place in the SW Division. That's thanks to the Bulls' 13-point upset over the Spurs on Thursday, and Basketball Prospectus gives us the breakdown on what happened. Amazingly, the Bulls dominated the offensive glass, something aided by Pops' refusal to put Blair in the game. Fred Silva at PTR gives us a Spurs fan's reaction to the game, including five reasons on why San Antonio lost. The best part?

1.)  15
This is another rough estimate, but 15 as in the 15 awful lineups that Pop threw onto the court.  I mean, awful like Noahs' disgusting face awful, (see above.)  This is my personal opinion, but was it just me or did everyone else notice that Pop's lineups were staggeringly awful.  I mean, if we are up by 20 against the Hornets at home, then feel free to throw in your ridiculous lineups, Pop.  But if we are down 15 with 8 to go in the fourth, how about you play our best 5 players and quit messing around?  All I wanted to see in the fourth was Parker, Ginobili, RJ, McDyess, and Duncan.  I realize it's the second game of a back to back, but no one played extended minutes against the Hornets because they sucked.  So why not try to win the game?  Why not?  Throw our best guys out there and if they do not make a push, then throw in the towel.  But at least give us a chance.  Pop's job is to put the team in the best position to win.  I feel he failed in that regard last night.  I realize he does not care about the regular season, but come on, man.  Alright, I am done ranting, for now.

I love it when Pops screws up.

---

Ariza has an interesting take on his changing role in the NBA:

“It’s an adjustment,” Ariza said. “It’s a different style of basketball that I’m playing now. I’m going from being the fifth option to one of the main guys on the team. It’s taken a little while to adjust to it, but I’m happy to be in this situation.

“The best part about it is I can take shots, and if I take a bad shot, I’m not going to be yelled at. But the toughest part is probably having to take it all on my shoulders. It’s what people say pressure is.”

---

Dave Berri noticed that Ty Lawson has been kicking ass in his first two games, asking if all the teams that passed on Lawson are feeling regrets yet. Lawson, along with Blair, was one of the statistical community's darlings going into the draft, and it doesn't surprise me that he has done well so far. Nevertheless, maybe we should back off on the prognostications.

---

TrueHoop gives us an alternative to the current setup of the NBA Playoffs: a play-in, single elimination tournament in the style of March Madness. Basically, teams 8 - 15 would play for the final seed in the playoffs, hopefully eliminating some of the incentive to tank as the season moves on.

I like the idea, though I think nobody really cares about the play-in game in the NCAA tournament, knowing that the 64th seed is a guaranteed loss. That's not always the case in the NBA, though it's damn close. Moreover, the claim that it would eliminate the incentive to tank is bogus. The only way to do that is to stop rewarding bad teams with good draft picks.

---

A lot of talk has gone into the Rockets being more of an "up-tempo" team this season, and so far that's borne out. They've gone from being the 19th-ranked team in pace last season to the eighth. Of course, that's only over the course of two games, but it's consistent with what Adelman, Morey, and others have been saying about this team.

Theoretically, faster-paced teams are better teams, right? More transition baskets means higher offensive efficiency, after all.

Carlos Chaloub at RaptorBlog.com has studied the relationship between pace and winning in this post. More specifically, he looked at the correlation between pace and defensive efficiency. What were his findings?

Except for 2005-2006, where the Phoenix Suns were the only fast-paced team, the fast-paced teams failed to beat the league average DRtg every single year. Of the 41 teams covered, only 19 (or 46%) played better defence than the league average.

So, what do we take away from this? It seems to me that playing conservative and slow allows your team to set itself in the half-court and defend 5-against-5. Running teams are prone to fast-breaks where points are accumulated easily by the opponent, and the hybrid (medium-paced) teams are not much better. In fact, of the 111 teams that played at a slow pace, 79 made the playoffs (71%), a very good percentage. In other words, only 81 teams out of 179 medium- and fast-paced teams made the playoffs (45%).

Good point. But do bad defensive teams gravitate towards fast-paced offensive systems because they need to maximize their offensive ability to compensate for that poor defense, or is it, as Chaloub suggests, purely a product of the system?

---

Happy Halloween, everybody.

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Big one I forgot to mention:

The Lakers lost by 14 to the Mavs last night. At home. Ron Artest’s line?
3 points on 1-6 shooting; 3 rebounds; 3 assists; 2 steals; 4 turnovers; 5 fouls. Kobe didn’t look so hot, either. It’s a thing of beauty, people.

Also, thank you, Mr. Morey.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Oct 31, 2009 10:59 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Gosh, that's really a shame. It really breaks me up when other teams play without their best guys.

No, really, it does. See the little tear in my eye there?

If the Red Nation apparatchiks start talking about a Five Year Plan, I'm out of here.

by Xiane on Oct 31, 2009 11:27 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

hmm

“do bad defensive teams gravitate towards fast-paced offensive systems because…”

Or put another way, are fast-paced teams typically smaller lineups with lots of guards and shooters without great post defense or shot-blocking ability? Yes.

My only real defensive concern with this team is post defense anytime Hayes leaves the floor.

by Metalate on Oct 31, 2009 11:58 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Looking forward to a good game tonight

PTB fan here… Not sure about the Adelman sentiment down there but I for one wish he was still the PTB coach… sorry about the Rocket’s misfortunes w/ Yao and McGrady out… still got a lot of respect for your team.. they hustle and play tough… best of luck this season

World's phoniest apology-- "I'm sorry."

by bow4meow on Oct 31, 2009 12:40 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Speaking from experience with pace:

Portland has been pretty poor defensively, and play at a snail’s pace to compensate. Also, they have been quite offensively efficient, even at a slow pace. Perhaps they are the exception to the rule. I’m hoping the pace goes up this year, but I think you use the pace the players are most comfortable with in order to get the best results.

Good luck tonight, but not too much. :) Hope it’s a game for the ages.

πάτερ, ἄφες αὐτοῖς, οὐ γὰρ οἴδασιν τί ποιοῦσιν.

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Oct 31, 2009 2:29 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Re the Pace

If you have a suck-a** team what do you do?
You can play very slow,try to grind it out and hope you can steal a few wins and with any luck teach your young guys how to win.(Pretty much what Portland has done.)
Or you run and give your fans an exciting show. I’d suspect it’s very tempting for owners to go w/the put some butts in the seats now approach.

And most young teams tend to be bad,but they do have energy and the one thing they know how to do is run,so I imagine it’s also tempting to let them run and use what little strengths they have.

by Tisbee on Oct 31, 2009 3:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

the PTB have picked up the pace this season

but it has nothing to do with putting butts in the seats considering 37 consecutive sellouts at the Rose Garden… it’s just the team is effective at a slow pace and it won them 54 games last year… Coach McMillan wants to control the pace and helter skelter up and down fast pace is not his or the teams personality

World's phoniest apology-- "I'm sorry."

by bow4meow on Oct 31, 2009 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, they did won the home opener last night.

Feels damn good…

I had to stop arguing with drunks, Steeler fans, and all other fools.
It was making my brick wall jealous...

by steeler-hater on Nov 1, 2009 6:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs


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