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A post-All Star break roster evaluation

The All Star game and related festivities are now over.

What have we learned?

Nba_g_shaqdance_576_medium

  • Kevin Durant is a badass
  • Yao Ming really, really has no place in an exhibition like that
  • The Fat Ass is an overgrown child, but "The Big JabbaWockee" line was damned funny.  Credit given where deserved.
  • Kobe Bryant likes to shoot.  A lot.  He's also good at it.
  • Kobe also didn't get the "no defense" memo
  • Rashard Lewis choked.  That made me sad.
  • Dwight Howard is too nice for his own good.  But his side-of-the-backboard dunk was amazing. 
  • Chris Webber is no Charles Barkley
  • The Phoenix Suns (actually Steve Kerr) are classless and stupid
  • LeBron James is 90% to feign an injury the week before next year's All Star game (and dunk competition).
  • Chris Paul should have been MVP
  • Kevin Durant will be next year's MVP

But enough about players that are only tangentially relevant to this blog.

Now that the All Star gimmicks are over with, we can focus on what is important... the race to April and the 2009 NBA Playoffs.  Of which your Houston Rockets will be taking part, no matter how badly Rick Adelman tries to sabotage our chances.

More to the point -- Thursday is the NBA Trading Deadline.  And while big names such as Amare Stoudemire, the Fat Ass, Allen Iverson and Wally Szcerbiak's expiring contract will be the talk of ESPN for the next few days... I don't care about those guys.  Unless Morey trades for them, and then I'll want to know who the hell killed Daryl Morey.

No... today's focus is on the Rockets' current roster.  Who has value?  Who should be kicked to the curb?  Who likely will be kicked to the curb?  Who is untouchable and wayyy too valuable to trade?

Let's begin (after the Jump)

Star-divide

 

Yao Ming -- if anyone calls asking about Yao's availability and it's not the Orlando Magic offering up Dwight Howard (and the Superman cape), the Rockets must hang up and alert the authorities to a prank call.  Yao is untouchable.  Even the Sports Guy seems to agree.

Tracy McGrady -- yes, I know we've been trying to find gullible teams to take T-Mac off our hands.  Come on Chicago... answer the phone!  Ummm, anyway, unlike Yao, McGrady is by no means untouchable.  We all know the details now.  Tracy is under contract through next season.  Next year he has a $23.2M expiring deal.  In today's NBA - that's what we call a valuable asset.  (Since McGrady's on-court value drops exponentially per month... sadly... it has come to this.).  Sorry, Tracy, but the end is near.  I think you know it.

Tracy-mcgrady-yao-ming_62143_medium

Luis Scola -- some have claimed that Scola is the Rockets' MVP this year.  They would be wrong, but I appreciate that Luis is receiving such recognition from his teammates.  I'm sure Daryl Morey notices.  Even if Coach Sleepy doesn't.  Luis isn't exactly "untouchable" like Yao, but if we receive any PF in return that isn't named "Tim Duncan" - I'm going to be very, very angry.  At $3.3M next year, there isn't a PF in the entire league that gives you more for the money.  (Translation?  Sign Scola to an extension now, Mr. Morey!!  Now!!!)

Shane Battier -- Okay, we've all seen the article by now.  None of the information revealed in the article should be surprising to any of us.  No, Battier isn't athletic.  He isn't a great offensive player.  He's not very fast.  He can't jump very high.  He can barely dunk.  And yet....... he's the prototypical "Moneyball" player of the NBA.  So it's unlikely he's going anywhere.  But....... (there's always a "but")... Battier isn't getting any younger.  He'll be 31 next season.  His contract also expires after next year ($7.3M in 2010).  He may be our only legitimate trade option.  Conclusion?  I don't think Morey lets Shane go, but I also don't see us giving Shane a raise for 2011.  Stay tuned.

Crazy Pills -- I have a bad feeling that the Crazy Pills era is about to end.  Artest has an $8.4M cap number which expires this summer.  He's playing for a contract, but he hasn't been able to play nicely with Tracy McGrady.  I also don't think Artest will re-sign with the Rockets if McGrady remains on the roster.  Morey may take this opportunity to move RonRon this week... while he still has value.  This makes me sad, but it's altogether not that surprising.

Rafer Alston -- I want him gone.  But I also do not see a viable market for "point guards that can't pass or shoot and tend to drink and drive."  Especially when said point guard is on the wrong side of 30 and is a known head-case.  Then again, once McGrady is truly out of the picture, maybe we'll see the true Rafer.  He does have positives - he's careful with the basketball, is good off the dribble and doesn't turn it over in traffic.  He's not anti-clutch (if not exactly "clutch").  And the worst part?  I think we actually won the Rafer for Mike James trade........ how sad is that?

Aaron Brooks -- Okay, I like Aaron a lot.  But we have to acknowledge the fact that he's never going to be a top 10-12 PG in the league.  He's a very, very good backup PG, but his midget-qualities will forever make him a liability on defense as a potential starter.  That said, I don't see Morey trading him anytime soon.  Brooks will be a Rocket for at least a couple more seasons.  And he's still inexpensive under his rookie deal.  This is good.

Carl Landry -- I hate to admit it, but Landry has regressed lately.  I love his energy and hustle, but he's become too much like Chuck Hayes in that he commits wayyy too many unnecessary fouls and takes himself out of games.  Which means Landry and his $3M deal could be packaged with Crazy Pills if the Rockets make any notable trades this week.  Then again, Landry could be seen as the hybrid small-forward/power-forward of the future if Artest, McGrady and Chuck Hayes leave.  Landry is the one athletic piece of our roster that other teams might see as an asset.  This is good and bad all at once...

Brent Barry -- he's old.  And he might be banging Mrs. Adelman.  But he's a Rocket until his contract expires.  At which time he'll retire.  No further analysis needed.

Von Wafer -- the 12th Man in October who worked himself into the top 8.  Von Wafer is the third-best player on the Rockets this year.  Yes, really.  Then again, once Crazy Pills and T-Mac returned from their twin sabbaticals, Wafer has been reduced to limited minutes and garbage time appearances.  Which have killed his rythym and his efficiency.  Wafer's contract also expires after this year... which means there's a very good chance he played himself into a big contract the Rockets cannot afford for 2010.  This makes me sad.  I don't see Von getting traded this week though.  Unless Morey sees it as a "sell high" opportunity.  He's smarter than I am, so maybe that's exactly what he's looking at.

Chuck Hayes -- Chuck was extremely valuable.  And then the Rockets traded for Luis Scola.  Then they drafted Carl Landry.  (Then they traded for the draft rights to Joey Dorsey...)  Hayes is now marginalized in his role on the team.  Which isn't unexpected because his level of athleticism makes Shane Battier look like LeBron.  Chuck's D is excellent, but not so excellent as to make up for his 0% efficiency as an offensive player.  Chuck has little future on the team... though he's not much of a trade asset.  Hmmmmm... at least he's not the next guy.

Luther Head -- belongs in the trash heap that Luke, Leia, Han and the gang fell into in Star Wars.  No one wants Luther.  Least of all the Rockets.  We've been trying to trade him for 2 years now. With no success.  The team can make a $2M+ qualifying offer to Luther this offseason.  But that's not going to happen.

Dikembe Mutombo -- this is his last season.  He's not getting traded.

Joey Dorsey -- We better not trade him.  For I'd lose my best source for material.

So, after all that... I have NO idea what's going to happen to the roster before, during or after Thursday's deadline.  Jerome Solomon hinted that a deal we will all like is being discussed off the radar.  I must say -- it's making me curious.  And nervous.

In the meantime?  We wait...

0 recs  |  Comment 7 comments |

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Von Wafer

I’d sell high with Von. We all like him, and he’s turning into a decent player, but he’s also the sort of player that other teams will overvalue – a relatively young scorer with good athleticism and poor defense. He’s also really cheap for the next few months, and he’d be an attractive asset for a trade.

I, too, would be very surprised if Artest still has a locker in Toyota Center on Friday. We all love his hustle and what he says in interviews, but he also has been a liability on offense while his defense has suffered.

What do you think about that rumored trade for Boozer? If that happens (unlikely), then I think I know who I’m booing when the Rockets come to NOLA in March.

by Only_A_Lad on Feb 16, 2009 11:19 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

if that happens

If we trade for Boozer, I may have to shut the blog down…

by grungedave on Feb 16, 2009 11:24 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The rumor is from HoopsWorld

aka it is a load of bullshit.

"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak

by Tom Martin on Feb 16, 2009 11:48 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

currently debating a new sig, thanks to this gem:

“But I also do not see a viable market for ‘point guards that can’t pass or shoot and tend to drink and drive.’” Loved it.

Also, on the general AS weekend bullet points above – and by the way I’m guilty of the same in my midseason awards column today – it’s probably a tad unfair to single out Kerr without mentioning Sarver as something at least close to equally responsible partner in the mess out in Phoenix.

Again, if you read the Daily Babble over at CelticsBlog today, you’ll find that I’ve done exactly the same thing (and you’ll be welcome to leave me the exact same comment). But I just read Johnny Ludden’s great piece on Sarver over at Yahoo!, so I figured I’d mention it while it was on my mind.

Great piece overall, really enjoyed it, Dave.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Feb 16, 2009 11:52 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

the firing I don't mind

I don’t blame Sarver for firing Porter… that was completely justified.
I blame Kerr for tipping off the media on All Star Weekend… when Phoenix was hosting. That’s just uncalled for and unnecessary. At least have the decency to fire Porter last Thursday.

by grungedave on Feb 16, 2009 1:37 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

PHX Phiring

I think that with Porter gone PHX decided to try to redeem Amare rather than make it work with the coach. If you’re the only young/good piece left of a franchise that only a couple of years ago electrified the NBA it can go that way.

 I agree, to air their laundry about Porter over the weekend, with the game in their building, well I guess that’s firing with extreme prejudice. But it’s lowbrow anyway.

For a couple of your comments, I disagree a bit.

I’m not sure Landry has regressed, so much as he is pressing during the minutes he gets. This leads to foul trouble, which leads to fewer minutes, which leads to more pressing etc etc. His problem is that Scola is so consistent, so intense, and has such a varied bag of tricks that it’s harder and harder to move him out of the lineup. I’d love to see a game where Scola attempted 30 shots… But I’d also love to see a week where Landry got 30+ minutes a night, maybe to rest Luis a bit.

I never thought I’d live to see the day Houston had two viable PFs. TWO!

Brooks – I don’t think he’s so much a bench player/backup as a match up player. Against PG with no offense, he’s a good start. Against smaller PG, he’s a good start. Against someone like Williams, he’s not. He’s got the offense to carry close matchups, too. If he could learn to face guard Battier style, he could be very effective, as he’s very hard to beat off the dribble.

Mutombo – I think Deke is a great guy. He’s a ton of fun, but I don’t know that we need a million dollar mascot. I still think we should try to trade for Camby.

by Xiane on Feb 16, 2009 5:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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