Projected Records Rest of Way

by mgsmith100 on Mar 23, 2009 12:53 PM CDT

Hi, my name is Mike.

I have not posted here before, but I wanted to do look at some of the wests teams standing records and upcoming schedules to “project” the record of each team. Below are my projections of the teams remaining record with comments. Far below I project the final record based on the comments:

Houston – I have them going 8-2, losing to the Lakers and Utah. The other big / swing games are Houston at Phoenix (win) and Houston at Dallas (win, last game of year). I am hoping Dallas has locked in their seed by then and are resting players.

Utah – Projected 7-6. I think they have the hardest schedule left, taking into account the teams and their road schedule. I have them losing all of their road games except for Dallas.

Denver - Projected 8-4. I have them losing 2 out of 3 road games to start off, and losing to Portland and Lakers at the end. The key for them are the 3 road games starting tonight. If they wind 2 out of 3 of those games they could come in 2nd place with a stumble from Houston or SA.

San Antonio – I have them going 9-4 the rest of the way, losing in Atlanta, NO, Utah and Cleveland. Some of the potential swing games are Portland at SA and SA at Indiana (both projected wins). If they stumble in one of those games they are in trouble.

Portland – I have them 9-3 the rest of the way, losing to SA, Houston and the Lakers. Huge games are with Houston and SA. If they win one of those games they will come in 2nd place.

New Orleans – I think they have the 2nd hardest schedule left, with them going 8 and 5 the rest of the way. I have them falling to Houston, San Antonio (once on road), Dallas, Utah and Miami. I think NO is one win short today for really contending for 2nd place, unless they get incredibly hot.

Projected Total Wins Losses based upon above analysis:

Houston 55,27

SA – 54,28

Denver and Port. – 53, 29

NO – 52,30

Utah – 50,32

No cursing in title. No pirated material, such as links to online game streams. Do not cut/paste entire sections of content from other websites. Thanks.

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Copy/paste fail

by goingforthecorner on Mar 23, 2009 1:20 PM CDT reply actions

Hi, Mike,

As for now, my projections are:

-Houston: agreed. 55-27. Loses only @LAL. (we’re such optimistics)

-SA: also 55-27. Loses @Atl, @Cle and maybe @Ind or @GS.

-Denver: tough schedule on the road and the Nene suspension: 51-31 with 5 losses @NO, @Dal, @LAL, @Por and somebody else (they have 3 back-to-backs).

-NO: 51-31. I added a home loss to the Spurs for good measure (also 3 back-to-backs).

-Portland: 51-31 (triple tie!) With losses @Hou, @SA, LAL and some lousy team on the road (maybe the Clippers right after the Lakers).

-Utah: 48-34. I have them going 4-8 the rest of the way because:
1) as you mentioned, they have the hardest schedule,
2) they can’t win on the road against good teams (7 games),
3) they have 4 back-to-backs alternating home and road games and
4) I hate them so very much.
They lose to: Phoenix, @Phoenix, @Portland, @Denver, @NO, @Dallas, @SA and @LAL.
Ah, that felt good. But wait, it gets better, because:

-Dallas: 49-33, losing 5 to @Cle, Miami, Phoenix, @NO and Houston.

(-Phoenix: out. Sorry, guys. (Note: Hollinger Playoff Odd’s gives them 28.8 percent. It’s too much.))

With that said, the Jazz falls to the eight-seed, Mavs are seventh, Hornets, Nuggets an Blazers tie-brake for 6, 5 and 4, Rockets and Spurs tie-brake for third and second.

Believe!

by Chuck DeBruce on Mar 25, 2009 8:46 PM CDT reply actions