Game Preview - Houston Rockets vs. Orlando Magic - Game 78 - 7:30PM CST March 06, 2009
Before the season I said the Rockets would be playing the Magic in the Finals. I'd love that to come true still, though it's a little longer shot on the Rockets end right now. Consider this game the preview to Lee's Mythical Championship.
The Match-ups:
Point Guard
Brooks - He and Kyle Lowry are better than Rafer Alston, that's all that really matters. The End.
vs.
Alston - He's actually shooting 40% from the field as a "Magic" (Side Note: That's just weird to type), a full 3.5% better than as a Rocket. That said, his three point shooting has gone from horrendous (34.8%) to unfathomable (28.6%), though he has at least somewhat gotten the hint and dropped his attempts by 1. His free throw shooting has dropped from 78.9% to 67.9% as well. Seriously, I love you Orlando Magic, I love you so much for taking him out of my hands. I don't have any hair left, so I was down to pulling my scalp off
Edge: Rockets - That's right, Rockets
Shooting Guard
Battier - For the first time this year I sound like a broken record in a positive way with Battier. He's playing his
vs.
Lee - This is the guy that I wanted in the draft, I just think he's going to be, and is already showing it, a great NBA player. Plus, I could have had a jersey with my name on it and only been sort of lame, and not completely. He has star potential and his shooting this year is off the charts. 41.8% from the three point line? Are you kidding me? Note to Battier, do not leave him behind.
Edge: Rockets - Lee is good, and is getting better, but he's still a work in progress, I highly doubt he gets open looks tonight and then means Shane will have done his job (defending) better than Lee did his job (shooting)
Small Forward
Artest - He is extremely effective on quick drives to the basket, which makes it all the more mind boggling that he chooses to dribble for 10 seconds before he does it. There is only one player in the league, Lebron, strong enough to stop him if he wants. Now, time to choose them properly. Let Yao get posted up on one side and as soon as the ball goes to you on the other, drive, don't hesitate, just take it to the basket and let Yao clean up. Every other possession should have you tossing the ball to Yao while you set your feet from the three point line. TIA
vs.
Turkoglu - He's had a scoring and shooting drop off this year, but otherwise is basically the same player. Good player that is really pretty fun to watch unless he's on a shooting spree and torching your team. This season those sprees have come at a lesser pace, but still have arrived. Looking at his box scores, he plays better against up tempo teams, which is very good news for the Rockets.
Edge: Even
Power Forward
Scola - Thank you Luis Scola, thank you for coming back, we all missed you for a few games there. Two straight strong games from the Argentinean slayer were just what the Rockets need to see coming down the stretch. Since Lewis can in no way guard him, I fully expect a similar game tonight. Maybe not 80% from the field, but I would gladly take 60% and 12 rebounds. Let's keep it going Mr. Scola, I think the playoffs are going to hinge on just how effective you are at scoring within the offense.
vs.
Lewis - 16 million a year, it still boggles my mind. At the time the Rockets were trying to get him to take the MLE, which is less than he's worth, but much closer to the real value than the franchise player money he is making. He is a very good scorer, though not elite. I guess the money thing just gets in the way too much for me. He really is a good player and if the Magic were paying him 10-11 million a year I'd say that would be about right, but you will not convince me that he should be getting 2.5 times what Turkoglu makes when they are basically the same type of player. Let's not end it on such a down note, I don't want it to sound like I don't like Lewis, I really do. He represents Houston well and I'm still angry that the Rockets didn't draft him. He would have been the SF this team needed for a lot of years.
Edge: Magic - If salary counted this edge would go to the Rockets, plus, Lewis is not a power forward no matter how tall he is, it's still very close, but I'm giving it to the Magic based on stats alone.
Center
Yao - Yao:Okur::Howard: Yao, In fact, it's not even as close as that, as Yao still gets his points versus Okur. I know one of these days Yao is going to have to pass the torch, and Howard will pass him in all likelihood in the all time centers debate, but that day has not happened yet and I don't think it will for another 2 years. Mark Jackson saying that the only thing Yao does better than Howard is "his post up game" is beyond laughable.
vs.
Howard - There is one player in the league, Chris Paul, that is more fun to watch play than Dwight Howard. He tries hard every night and just really gets what being an NBA player and a hard worker is all about. His jumping ability at his height is phenomenal and his drive to win on the court is a thing of beauty. One of these days, and again, I'm guessing 2 years from now, he's going to finally put the pieces together on a 15 foot jump shot and a true back to the basket spin towards and spin away, and he'll be in the conversation of top 10 centers of all time.
Edge: Rockets - You have to beat the best to be the best. I get it, Dwight Howard is awesome, he's young, he's fun to watch. I don't enjoy watching many players more than him, but when the head to head changes, we'll talk.
Injuries/Suspensions
Houston Rockets
OUT - Carl Landry, still out and I have not seen any news on when he will return.
Orlando Magic
OUT - Jameer Nelson, out for the season.
My Prediction: Aaron Brooks and Kyle Lowry take this game personally, so does Rafer Alston. When Rafer takes it personally he shoots 4-16 and tosses the ball away 4-6 times, so Rockets win.
Check out the always fun Third Quarter Collapse Game Preview
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Awesme anaylsis.
Rockets got the edge in every single match up SANS Lewis and you still tried to weasel in some BS about salaries.
Man stuck in the 1st round for 12 years would lead me to write such impartial breakdowns as well.
Good luck loosing to the Lakers.
Assuming you get out of the 1st round Hoss ;-)
F You Shaq
by The Real Magic Fan on Apr 7, 2009 10:05 AM CDT reply actions
you would lose to the Lakers as well
we didn’t get the edge with Artest and Hedo – its even, as it should be. You can’t say a rookie is better than Shane Battier, and we hate Rafer Alston. Yao vs. D-Ho is clear – howard isn’t as good, and head to head, he gets his ass kicked. Next time, before you open your mouth, think about what you’re saying.
"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak
edge was at artest at the time he posted, just to let you know.
by misterterrific on Apr 7, 2009 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions
ok well in that case i could see a problem - but it's even now, so power be to the writers!
"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak
Postseason...
Dwight Howard>Yao
Winners win in Postseason.
Not in April.
While YAO is “schooling” Howard maybe he can get some advice on NOT CHOKING HARD in the playoffs…
F You Shaq
by The Real Magic Fan on Apr 7, 2009 10:07 AM CDT reply actions
uhm...
at least we’ve beaten detroit?
kidding aside
seriously, dude. why you going all personal just when Lee went over to TQC just to say something that wasn’t that big a deal?
by misterterrific on Apr 7, 2009 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions
First of all...
Look at the numbers. Yao schools Dwight Howard. Now I’m not saying Yao is the best center in the league because he may or may not, but historically speaking he has dominated Howard.
Second, I think this is a relatively accurate breakdown as the Rockets match up well against the Magic- very well actually. If the Magic can’t feed the big man (and history shows that they can’t when Yao is on Howard) then it’s basically just a flurry of 3-point attempts (Turkoglu, Lee, Alston and Lewis) and everyone knows how well that usually works.
Thus my analysis is that Orlando wins ONLY if their 3-pointers are falling (and they very well could based on the Rashard, Hedo and Courtney’s past performances.)Other than that, I say Rockets take it down rather easily.
A few things
1. You play in the East
2. While I think Orlando, Cleveland and Boston (in that order) are great teams, and clearly top 4 league teams, every other team in that conference would be struggling to make the playoffs in the West.
3. Dwight Howard is awesome, but he is simply not better than Yao. Definitely not in a heads up matchup, that’s not even arguable at this point if DHo goes 40 and 20 tonight, his numbers still wouldn’t be close.
4. I was, and have been, extrememly complimentary about your team. I just feel like the match-ups favor the Rockets, and that has been clear on the court.
a. The Rockets guards are better than Rafer, period
b. Battier is better than Courtney Lee – Not over what I think Lee’s career will be, but over what he is right now. I’m a HUGE Lee fan
c. I actually meant to make Artest/Turkoglu Even, I’ll fix that. This isn’t my job, it’s my hobby and an awesome one at that.
d. Just watch, Scola will be the guy you can’t stop tonight, and Lewis will be the guy the Rockets are comfortable with getting some points. Plus I gave you the edge here.
e. Yao is better, you have absolutely no proof otherwise, certainly not any on court proof
www.TheDreamShake.com Co-Founder and Writer
Memories
Oh what a good time it was when we swept Shaq and the Magic in the Finals. I was heading to Richmond in with a carload of people and going down 610 holding the broom out the window and everyone honking. Richmond was nuts and one huge party that night. Some dude brought a vacuum cleaner out on the street and was taking a lot of shit. Good times.
OUT – Carl Landry, still out and I have not seen any news on when he will return.
i’d say friday, with a question mark. like this: friday?
this should be a tremendously exciting game. it’s alston’s game to lose. period.
That actually made me laugh, nice work
I’m thinking he plays 1-3 games before the playoffs
www.TheDreamShake.com Co-Founder and Writer
TDS guys, is anything I said in my preview inaccurate or unfair?
Wanted to make sure I had my facts straight…
I thought you were dead on
I think this game is a toss up right now. You have the better team against the league, I think we have the better heads up team, if that makes sense.
www.TheDreamShake.com Co-Founder and Writer
I'm not sure why you keep saying Rafer is a bad person
there’s no bad blood between teammates, he’s definitely a coachable player, and by all accounts even the media really likes him.
by goingforthecorner on Apr 7, 2009 12:28 PM CDT reply actions
Really?
I didn’t say he was blackballed by teammates. I sad he’s “not a good guy”. Meaning, he may not be ready to kill your mother, but he’ll definitely stab you if you rub him wrong. Or beat you if you’re his college girlfriend, or drive drunk, or do any number of idiotic, not good things
www.TheDreamShake.com Co-Founder and Writer
When has he actually stabbed someone?
If you’re talking about the incident in NY, he wasn’t convicted for that. It was total BS.
by goingforthecorner on Apr 7, 2009 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions
Wasn't there
a situation involving Rafer involving guns and fighting at a nightclub in the last couple of years?
Yeah, and that situation resulted in NO CHARGES, as Rafer didn't do anything
he was just in the wrong place at the wrong time.
by goingforthecorner on Apr 7, 2009 7:28 PM CDT up reply actions
I know right
Athletes are always in the wrong place at the wrong time. Like when that guy that looked just like Jose Lugo beat his wife. And when that guy that looked just like Ray Lewis killed that dude. And all those guys that looked just like all those baseball players used illegal drugs and then lied about it under oath. An athlete not being charged for something does not mean that they didn’t do it. I’m sure some sort of out of court settlement is usually involved.
by seanbergmanrules on Apr 8, 2009 8:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Uh huh
if Rafer actually stabbed someone in the neck, I think he’d actually be in some sort of trouble. The story was total BS.
by goingforthecorner on Apr 8, 2009 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions
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