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A note on divisons and strength of schedule

Found this on ESPN.com:

Picture_9_mediumPicture_8_medium

Not a whole lot can be taken away from this, as the percentages of the SOS from the highest to the lowest team differs by only .01.  But I would like to bring something up.

Notice that the two NBA Finals participants are towards the bottom in the schedule strength column.  The Houston Rockets have the second most wins of any team with a schedule strength of .500 or better.  My question is this: Why do we handicap teams with divisions?

We're going to pretend that excuses are welcomed here for a second.  What happens if the Lakers and Rockets swap places?

Obviously, the success of each team is impossible to determine before the start of the season.  But instead of forcing teams in the Southwest divison to constantly grind out wins every year while the Lakers relax in the Pacific division, why not get rid of divisions altogether?

What hurt the Rockets the most this postseason, aside from losing Yao Ming, was the fact that we finished the season as the fourth seed, when, in reality, we should have been the second.  True, we would have eventually run into L.A., but getting to the WCF is much more of a morale booster than getting to Round 2.  Certainly the must-win flop in Dallas can be put under a microscope as far as "woulda, coulda, shoulda's" go, but it did not have to come to that.  Had our strength of schedule been easier, we could have been sitting pretty heading into the final week of the regular season.  Again, we're throwing all logic out the window and replacing it with an epic excuse.  We are not in any way considering all of the wonderful reasons to have divisions in the NBA.  But what's wrong with that?  It's mid-June: I don't have a lot to write about.

It would be nice if each NBA team could play each other twice.  Then, each team could play 14 games against teams in their respective conference.  It would be a 74 game season, and every team's schedule strength would be evened out to a degree.  This post is no attack on Los Angeles, but for example, instead of playing the Clippers, Kings, and Warriors as often, they would have to play contending teams more frequently.  And that example only points to this season.  In five years, things may completely reverse in that division - the Kings, Warriors, and (gulp) the Clippers may be contenders.  But by eliminating divisions, that would not matter as much.  Nothing would be completely and perfectly even, but it would at least be pointed in that direction.

While the postseason serves to filter out the best team of the very good teams, I would at least like for the playoffs to have a more respectable seeding order.  That order would be better determined by eliminating divisions, thus evening out the schedules for each team and providing a better look at who deserves to be seeded where.  While this will not be happening soon, it's something to at least consider.

By the way, I did see a few comments suggesting we do an "offseason overview" of sorts.  When I find time in the next few days, I'll get to it.  Lee has already done some excellent work on this (here and here).  I've done a few draft posts here and here.  I'm hardly an expert on salaries and what could work trade-wise, but I'll provide as much information and extremely biased analysis as possible.  Again, feel free to post anything off-season related in the FanPost section.

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It's cyclical

In the past decade, the Lakers, Suns, and Kings have all been at one point at the top of their game. Even the Clippers and Warriors were playoff teams. Meanwhile, the Northwest division was going nowhere, but now it seems to be making a resurgence (Denver, Portland, one might even argue Utah).

Is it possible to see SOS for each year?

by ATLakers on Jun 16, 2009 5:46 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Two things:

1) Divisions exist mostly because of TV revenue. Owners think that if they can insure that there is always at least one team from any region, then at least some people from that region who would not watch otherwise will do so. It makes intuitive sense. Hardcore fans in any region probably hate the other teams in the division, so it might not work there, but more casual fans are probably more willing to root for the Spurs or Hornets in the playoffs if the Rockets don’t make it.

2) Divisions don’t really have all that much of an effect on SOS. You play about 19.5% of your games in the division. Another 61% are basically obligatory – you have to play each NBA team twice.

 The remaining 16 games are determined by the NBA scheduler. It doesn’t matter too much that the Rockets play the Spurs, Hornets, and Mavs four times each, but it does matter that they played the Jazz and Lakers four times each. On the other hand, the Rockets also played the T-Wolves four times and the Kings and Thunder both 3 times.

Your friendly neighborhood Dreamshake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Jun 16, 2009 11:43 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Everything goes round in a cycle

The Pacific isn’t the strongest right now but there has been times when the 2 best teams in the league (the Lakers and Kings) had to battle each other constantly, plus the Suns were good as well.

I know the Southwest and Northwest are shaping up to be MONSTERS but all I can say is what goes around comes around.

Just accept the fact and be proud that your team plays and is a major contender in the mighty Western Conference.

I cant stand the L-east, I was reading some site the other day and this Boston writer had the audacity to say the Lakers had it easy because they were in the Pacific. I was like "dude your team plays in the ATLANTIC DIVISION which is in the weak L-EASTERN Conference!!! How can you sit there and disrespect the teams battling it out in the West?

As far as i’m concerned if Boston/Cleveland/Orlando were in the West they wouldn’t have so many wins. Heck if Phoenix were in the East they would’ve been in the finals at least 3 times this decade!

by wayde_316 on Jun 19, 2009 10:26 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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