The Dream Shake: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Follow the @sbnation MLB Twitter List

How the 2009 Orlando Magic are eerily similar to the 1995 Houston Rockets

I've finally come out of my "Houston Rockets eliminated from the playoffs" coma.  It allowed me to closely watch most of the Conference Finals games.  In particular, I got to watch a lot of the Orlando Magic (because their games with Cleveland started at reasonable times).  By watching these games I started to notice some peculiar trends and similarities to my favorite basketball team of all-time.

Yes, it says here that the Orlando Magic are eerily similar to the 1995 Houston Rockets.

Yes, the 1995 Houston Rockets.

0621_large_medium 

For one, both teams were surprise entrants in the NBA FInals.  The Rockets were a six seed that were supposed to lose to the Utah Jazz in round one (when the first round still had only five games).  Alas, Utah couldn't hold a 12 point fourth quarter lead.  Because Utah sucks, you see.  The Rockets then went down 3-1 against the Suns in round 2... only to crawl out of that hole and give Phoenix the Kiss of Death.  After that, Hakeem de-pantsed league MVP David Robinson and the Rockets coasted in 6 games over a heavy favorite.  Where they proceeded to sweep the Magic in four games in the Finals.

In contrast, the Orlando Magic were never expected to get beyond the second round.  They were a young and impetuous team lead by a happy-go-lucky center.  Boston was supposed to beat them in Round 2... even without the services of Kevin Garnett.  Unless you count "dropping F-bombs from the bench" as an asset to a team.  Orlando went down 3 games to 2 and lacked home court advantage.  No matter... they cleaned up the mess in 7 games and went to face the Cleveland Cavaliers.  While the Magic didn't exactly embarrass league MVP LeBron James in the process, they certainly flustered him and won in 6 games over a heavy favorite.

It doesn't end there.  Not only did the current Magic follow a similar path to the FInals, they did it in a similar fashion.  What do we remember about the Houston Rockets' offense?  Rudy T popularized the "inside-out" game.  The offense begins with entry passes into Hakeem, where he would either score himself or kick it out to open shooters.  Guys like Robert Horry, Sam Cassell, Elie, Clyde Drexler, Pete Chilcutt, and even Kenny Smith.  Most everyone said it was a terrible way to win because the Rockets relied too much on 3-point shooting.  No matter... they won anyway.

Look at Orlando.  They have a powerful presence inside with Dwight Howard.  He's getting much better about passing out of double-teams.  Stan Van Gundy has designed an offense built around the big guy, but also surrounding him with legitimate shooters.  Guys like Rashard Lewis, Hedo Turkey-Glue, Mickael Pietrus, Courtney Lee, and even Rafer Alston.  Again, critics said this was not a way to win in the playoffs.  No matter... Orlando sent LeBron home confused and silent.

An analysis of the rosters is even a good mirror image match.

You have the obvious Hakeem Olajuwon and Dwight Howard comparison.  The dominant 20/10 big men who were also the best defensive players in basketball.  Shot blocking extraordinaires who could alter the game with their mere presence on both ends.

Houston2_5b1_5d_medium 

But don't overlook the other similarities...

There's the infuriating point guard comparison.  The Rockets had Kenny Smith (who I still blame for losing the 1993 Western Conference Semi-final Game 7 in Seattle.  You are paid to make jump shots, Kenny.  Yet you couldn't make one. Thanks for nothing.)  On the other side, you have Rafer Alston.  Who sucks.  (It's well-documented.)

You have the surprisingly clutch in the playoffs player.  The Magic have Hedo Turkoglu.  The Rockets had Robert Horry.  And while it's wayyyy too early to compare the awesomeness of Robert Horry to Turkoglu, it's a fair comparison if we limit it to the role these two guys play at the end of games.  Maybe Hedo learned something from Horry in series past?

426-17 

There's also the impact "young" guy.  The Rockets had Sam Cassell in his second year.  The Magic have Courtney Lee (who the Rockets desperately wanted to draft themselves this year.)  Neither player was a starter for his respective team, but both were integral to the eventual outcomes.

There's the proverbial "second banana" all-star swingman on each team.  The Rockets had an aging Clyde Drexler.  Acquired by a mid-season trade.  The Magic have Rashard Lewis.  Aquired by a mind-boggling free-agent contract.  Both know they aren't the star of the team, but they know they are all-stars and they live(d) up to that status most every night.  Both are also native Houstonians.  Which gives me a reason to cheer for Rashard.

Rashard_lewis_high_school_medium 

Each team has a token white guy shooter.  The Rockets had Pete Chilcutt (and Matt Bullard the year before).  The Magic have JJ Redick.  All of these guys got no more than 8-10 minutes a game and were horrible defensive liabilities.  But don't you dare leave them open!

Both teams even have the very needed "good luck charm" player rotting on their benches.  The Rockets had Chucky Brown - who was made famous by Charles Barkley wondering who the hell he was.  The Magic have Tyronn Lue - who always seems to be on teams that make deep playoff runs.  Both have championship rings.  No one can really explain how or why.

Even the coaches are similar.  Rudy Tomjanovich was a fan favorite for being a blue-collar guy with a bit of a taste for alcoholic beverages.  Stan Van Gundy is a fan favorite for looking a whole hell of a lot like an adult film star.  Both coaches would be hoarse by the first time-out of any game.  And both are criminally underrated.  (Rudy T somehow isn't in the Hall of Fame... while Stan Van Gundy somehow is the target of constant job speculation.)

There's even a similar underlying storyline...

The Rockets sweeping the Orlando Magic in 1995 was a blow to Shaq's ego.  The Orlando Magic (and both Dwight Howard and SVG) reaching the Finals is also a blow to Shaq's inflated ego.  The added benefit here is that no matter who wins the 2009 NBA Finals... it's going to piss off Shaquille O'Neal.  Which is awesome.

And oh, yeah... the last time Orlando even made the Finals was when the Rockets kicked their ass.  Which brings back good memories for me.

Though as much as I see the comparisons to the 1995 Rockets... there is one thing that will be lacking for Orlando in the end.  What is that you may ask?  Simple... the 1995 Rockets got a ring.  The 2009 Orlando Magic will not.  Sorry, but Kobe Bryant didn't play on that 1995 Orlando team.  And typically the team with the best player will be victorious in the Finals.  In 1995 that player was Hakeem.  In 2009, that player is Kobe, much to the chagrin of Dwight Howard fans.  Sad, but true.  I think the Lakers close this one out in six games on their home court.

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Interesting read.

I hadn’t thought about all of that so much. I have to (sadly) agree with the last statement as well. A Rockets vs. Bulls (had Jordan been playing at the time) final would be an even closer parallel.

"I am from one of the top 15 cities in the world. Buffalo, New York." - TrentEdwardsHoF2018

by Artest4Prez on Jun 3, 2009 1:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I was actually going to write something fairly similar

Though it was mostly about similarity of offense. I’d do something more in-depth, but you’ve pretty much nailed it. I’ll just show off my pretty charts.

Basically, the ’94 and ’95 Rockets and the ’09 Magic score a ridiculous number of their points by three-point-shots, compared to the NBA average.

3pchart"/>

3ptp

It’s even more exaggerated with the current Magic, though. They score almost 1/3 of their total points behind the three-point line. Meanwhile, the rest of the league scores about 1/5 of their points that way. The Championship-Era Rockets had about a 6% difference with the rest of the league, while it’s about 10% with the current Magic. (Also, what the hell happened from 1995 to 1997? The whole league got jumpshot crazy!) In other words, the ’09 Magic take the inside-out game to crazy levels, but this is a style pioneered (and I think Shoals made this point at FD) by the Olajuwon-led Rockets.

You’re spot-on with the comparison, Dave, which is why I thought the “Orlando shoots too many threes” line from the regular season (or the much worse “Championship teams don’t shoot many threes” line, which the ’94 and ’95 Rockets proved false) made very little sense.

Your friendly neighborhood Dreamshake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Jun 3, 2009 1:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

1995 to 1997

it’s called “the shorter 3 point line”

by grungedave on Jun 3, 2009 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh, right

forgot about that.

Your friendly neighborhood Dreamshake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Jun 3, 2009 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But is there a fault with the strategy?

It’s been a while since a team like the mid 90s Rockets has appeared, but I don’t think the approach is a flawed one.

Step 1 – Have a dominant big man.
Step 2 – Surround him with guys who can both shoot the 3 and defend the perimeter like mad men, leaving the inside to the center.
Step 3 – Collect title?

Shooting a high percentage of wide open 3 pointers IS sustainable with good shooters.
If Rafer is your WORST shooter, and 5th scoring option, that’s not too bad.

Without going too much into detail, both teams present very difficult matchup problems for each other. We saw with the Rockets that LA had trouble with a defensive minded team. Well, Orlando is that, and they have a lot more firepower than Houston did in that series, not to mention size.

Also, I think Orlando is overall better than they have been at any time this year (Nelson being out is a big exception, with him, I think they’d leave tread marks on LA, honestly.)

But my impression of LA is that if they get on top of you, they will run away and you’re cooked. It’s very hard to do this to Orlando, between D and 3pt shooting, and Howard.

I’ll go against the grain and say Orlando in 6.

"So do you keep open 3pt FG percentage?"
"Yeah, we'd have everything you'd want, Bill."
"I hate you."
Bill Simmons/Daryl Morey Podcast 5/8/09

by Xiane on Jun 3, 2009 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the main matchup problem

is going to be the same one we saw with Lebron: Dwight is just going to prevent Kobe from getting inside. And while Orlando doesn’t have a single defender of Battier’s quality, they’re still going to make Kobe work to get his points. That’s what you’ve got to do with the Lakers: stay on the other options, prevent them from getting open looks, and make Kobe shoot jump shots every time he touches the ball. You’re not going to win every game that way, but it’s the way to exploit the Lakers’ weaknesses. And, fortunately for the Magic, they’ve got the best inside defender in the league and a collection of perimeter players who will close out and defend.

I think it was Hardwood Paroxysm that pointed out how stupid George Karl got as the Denver-LA series went on, particularly when he started doubling Kobe. I don’t think SVG is that stupid, and the “Master of Panic” knows what his team’s strengths are and, conversely, what his weaknesses are. The Magic end up hurting themselves when they start playing to those weaknesses. They start buying into that “feed Dwight the ball” crap, instead of just letting him catch the ball in space or grab offensive rebounds for his points. We saw them try that once in the Boston series, it didn’t work (mostly because Perkins is a defensive monster) and they never went back to it. Now, Bynum and Gasol might be able to stop Dwight from getting to the basket, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

There are definitely big weaknesses with a team like the Magic. Boston’s great defensive frontcourt gave them a lot of trouble (and they probably would have won had KG been playing), and the Rockets pretty much kicked their ass in the reg. season. But I just don’t think the Lakers can exploit those weaknesses.

Your friendly neighborhood Dreamshake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Jun 3, 2009 6:35 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That seems about right to me.

I think you’re right about limiting Kobe to jumpers and daring the rest of the Lakers to beat you, which is going to be hard for them with Howard limiting their big advantage in that situation, Gasol. Howard is as mobile as Gasol, if not more, but much stronger and more physical, obviously.

I think you play Pietrus on Kobe with lots of help from Rafer, who IS a good defender whatever his other faults. If Fisher can make them pay for that, let him prove it.

Of course if Kobe gets the “DWade whistle” then Orlando is basically screwed.

Also- Houston is a very bad matchup for Orlando in that Howard can neither go over nor through Yao, while Yao can work Howard over down low without too much fear of being blocked. Who else can say that? Whomever has Shaq and that’s about it. This allows Houston to D Orlando without really worrying about Howard. LA can try that with Bynum, and I predict it will last about 12 minutes a game.

"So do you keep open 3pt FG percentage?"
"Yeah, we'd have everything you'd want, Bill."
"I hate you."
Bill Simmons/Daryl Morey Podcast 5/8/09

by Xiane on Jun 3, 2009 7:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

(Rudy T somehow isn’t in the Hall of Fame… while Stan Van Gundy somehow is the target of constant job speculation.)

According to this (scroll way, way down) and this, he won’t be eligible until next year, thanks to that brief stint as a Lakers coach in 2004.

Patience. He’ll get there. :D

by DribbleHooper on Jun 3, 2009 6:02 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

WRONG

Rudy T played basketball. He retired in the early 80s… he’s been eligible for the HOF for quite a while.

by grungedave on Jun 3, 2009 6:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Two things,

Lakers have homecourt advantage now, so they won’t have game 6 in their own house (last statement).

I heard from a very reliable Lakers fan (who isn’t a bandwagoner and actually acknowledges other good teams), that Shaq wants Kobe to get a ring because they’re friends now or something. I think it was on Shaq’s twitter page? :P

by Tam Henry xD on Jun 3, 2009 8:49 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

no

the NBA Finals are different… the schedule is Games 1 and 2 in L.A., Games 3-5 in Orlando, and Games 6 and 7 in L.A. – just like Game 6 was in Boston last year.

by grungedave on Jun 4, 2009 12:11 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Olajuwon - Howard?

 Howard is an incredible talent, but it’s WAAAAAYYYYYYY to early to compare him to Olajuwon.
   He seems to have some of the intangebles, but his footwork and touch are elementary compared to Olajuwon’s. Does Howard have a 10-12 foot quick-spin baseline fadeaway? NOPE.

  All you Rocket fans need to get over the fact that you lost to the Lakers, in a “close” seven game series LOL.
 LA flatout threw the road games to make more revenue.

  Trying to look for similarities in another team so you can try and feel better is sad.
 
  All those shots Artest lunched for you guys really helped you out.
 LAKERS will KILL Orlando in a series. 4-2.
Orlando will win two but it will be obvious by the end of game six who the Championship team is.

by GoLive805 on Jun 4, 2009 4:47 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

you fail at reading comprehension

Where did I say anything about Artest or the current Rockets in this post?
This has to do with the simliarities between the Orlando Magic and a Houston Rockets team from 14 years ago. I also said the Lakers would win in six. So why all the venom?

by grungedave on Jun 4, 2009 8:45 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Apparently

the Lakers “threw” some road games to make more money. That must be why they beat Utah in 5 and Denver in 6.

"I am from one of the top 15 cities in the world. Buffalo, New York." - TrentEdwardsHoF2018

by Artest4Prez on Jun 4, 2009 9:17 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, if KNOW the outcome is determined in advance

it would make a lot of sense to have a couple of extra home gates. But since only one muppet is fighting for the crown, I’d guess not.

"So do you keep open 3pt FG percentage?"
"Yeah, we'd have everything you'd want, Bill."
"I hate you."
Bill Simmons/Daryl Morey Podcast 5/8/09

by Xiane on Jun 4, 2009 5:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah.....

i’d have to agree. who would ever think dwight howard coulde be compared to the dream, even at the same points in their career, no comparison. the only thing that causes ppl to double team him is his ability to jump high…and that’s the ONLY THING he’s got going for him. all the respect to him for what he did in the cavs series, but to bring this up and some of the other comparisons, must have really needed something to write about.

by kg_2005 on Jun 4, 2009 10:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

so...

D-Ho being Defensive Player of the Year (like Hakeem) is to be overlooked?
Howard being a top-2 center in the NBA and the Magic feeding off of him is to be overlooked?

I never said Howard was equal to or better than Hakeem. And I won’t. What I said was that they play similar roles in very similar offenses.

by grungedave on Jun 4, 2009 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

exactly

think about the small lineup the Rockets often fielded in ‘95. Cassell/Smith-Elle-Drexler-Horry-Hakeem. That’s four perimeter shooters and an incredible (if undersized) center. And the only reason it worked is because Hakeem was the best defensive center of his generation and a dominant player on the boards.

Same goes for the Rafer-Pietrus/Lee-Turkoglu-Rashard-Dwight lineup the Magic have, it’s only more extreme. Dwight’s only post-move is “running hook shot that misses,” but he’s such a great offensive rebounder (and he’s quick enough to dribble around guys like Ilgauskas) that it just doesn’t matter. I think his defensive impact is often overstated, but he’s the best defensive center right now (I think Perkins probably gives him a run for his money, though) and definitely the best rebounder in the game. The rest of the Magic can go small, and Howard’s shot-blocking and rebounding will make it work.

If you want a direct player-comparison for Dwight, the one I usually see tossed around is another Rocket: Moses Malone. He’s certainly got the rebounding numbers and size to make the comparison viable.

Your friendly neighborhood Dreamshake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Jun 4, 2009 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But the thing is

the magic aren’t small. They play a perimeter game, but overall they are a tall team. And aside from Bynum, who is either hurt or an enigma, LA’s big guys aren’t going to muscle Orlando around, and they can’t shoot over Orlando. The Magic play good D, and unlike Houston, don’t lack for guys big enough to match up with LA. They even have a usable backup center. The only Laker who looks like a bad matchup for Orlando is Kobe.

I think this series will surprise some people, if Orlando can keep playing at their current level.

"So do you keep open 3pt FG percentage?"
"Yeah, we'd have everything you'd want, Bill."
"I hate you."
Bill Simmons/Daryl Morey Podcast 5/8/09

by Xiane on Jun 4, 2009 2:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

The Dream Shake: Dedicated to all things Houston Rockets. Past, present and future. Expect criticism, commentary and shameless promotions to get Robert Horry into the Hall of Fame.
Start posting about the Rockets »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Scan1_small
Week #2 NBA Power Rankings...
Small
Robert Horry, Hall of Fame? Um, yes.
Small
Face of the Franchise: Aaron Brooks
Dunk_small
Rockets-Lakers rant
Dunk_small
Rockets more dangerous without stardom?
Small
Crazy Trade Idea
Dunk_small
Rockets beat Jazz
Infrareds_small
Rudy Gay Doesnt Sign Extension with Grizzlies
Scan1_small
I like most of what I am seeing so far this season.
Small
Trevor Breakout Game unfolds

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SBN Hoops Twitter


Daryl Morey Wannabes

Kurt-avatar_small grungedave

Img_4429_small UofTOrange

Img_0142_small Tom Martin