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Rockets And Black Holes: A Look At Kevin Martin

(First, I'd like to welcome our Sci-Fi junkies who saw the title of this post and immediately jumped on it. Apologies if you weren't looking for a basketball blog. If you look).

Compared to his fellow NBA guards, Kevin Martin doesn't pass the ball very much. It was a little shocking to see him pile up seven assists against the Denver Nuggets last week, as he only average 2.4 assists per game. You could make the argument that this is a bad thing, but given Martin's jaw-dropping efficiency on offense, I can't complain. His strengths lie in his ability to score and he makes good on those strengths as effectively as anyone.

This is nothing new to those who have simply watched Martin play, but for kicks, Basketball-Reference's Neil Paine decided to crunch the numbers to find out who, among NBA guards who play 30 minutes per game or more, passes the very least. To nobody's surprise, Nick Young comes in first with a pass percentage of 27.4% -- in other words, upon possessing the ball, he chooses to pass to a teammate only 27.4 percent of the time.

Kevin Martin finishes fifth on the list with a pass percentage of 36.4%. Ahead of him are Jason Richardson, DeMar DeRozan and Anthony Morrow, each separated by merely one-tenth of a percentage point. A few spots below Martin lies Dwyane Wade, whose assist rate has fallen quite a bit with the additions of Chris Bosh and LeBron James.

Most interestingly, Martin stands out on the list of guards as the most prominent option to possess such a low pass percentage. He receives 1.22 touches per minute, which is far more than anyone else on the list until Wade's name appears. Thus, it can be inferred that, among first-option guards, Kevin Martin passes the very least and by a considerable margin. To me, it's a little ironic that a team whose offense is fueled by crisp ball movement and high assist numbers possess a first option who can be easily labeled as a "black hole."

Then again, if you look down near the bottom of the list, Kyle Lowry's name pops up. According to Paine's numbers, Lowry passes the ball 72 percent of the time. A good chunk of those passes surely end up in Martin's hands, as Martin's numbers have risen while playing alongside Lowry. Ideally, this is what you want: the point guard passes, and the shooting guard shoots.

Not many teams do it this way anymore given the boatload of point guard talent that has infiltrated the league. Sure, scoring point guards and versatile, pass-happy shooting guards can have value. Aaron Brooks played well next to Martin and can certainly bring a lot to the table. But Lowry and Martin have thrived in the old school approach and there is absolutely nothing wrong with that.

Like I said before, it's all about playing to strengths. Lowry passes, Martin shoots and the Rockets are better for it.

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Kevin's strength is

finding a way to contribute when his shot is not falling. Very smart player, I know everyone is on the table for the next week, but I hope we keep Kevin.

by makinmajik on Feb 15, 2011 4:12 PM CST reply actions  

as do I.

The Dream Shake ...on Twitter.
"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak

by Tom Martin on Feb 15, 2011 5:52 PM CST up reply actions  

two surprising revelations about the chart

1) Martin passes less than Kobe

AND

2) Martin shoots more than Kobe

I guess I need to think about changing my mind about Kobe´s selfish game (apparent selfish game that is)……..Ok, I thought about it but I didn´t change my mind!!!!

by 4theluvofthegame on Feb 15, 2011 5:46 PM CST reply actions  

By the way Tom

I love this kind of stuff; I meant to say that at the end of my little post. I know that stats don´t tell the whole story but I really find stats very interesting and fun to kick around. Thanks.

by 4theluvofthegame on Feb 15, 2011 5:50 PM CST reply actions  

Kevin Martin although is not the problem it is the other matter.

Nice piece as a black hole can be observed through its interaction with other matter (event horizon). A maths grad should be able to calculate the size of this black hole so we understand and supply to the relavent authoritory.

The content of the text above is provided for information purposes only. No claim is made as to the accuracy or authenticity of the content. The troll does not accept any liability to any person for the information or advice (or the use of such information or advice) which is provided in the text above.

by craigj007 on Feb 15, 2011 6:17 PM CST reply actions  

hope you're kidding.

The Dream Shake ...on Twitter.
"I think girls are probably just better shooters." - Steve Novak

by Tom Martin on Feb 15, 2011 6:43 PM CST up reply actions  

lol

Would it be insta-ban if I wasn’t?

by basketball is cool on Feb 15, 2011 7:59 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

dude...totally trade Kevin Martin....are you kidding me...

for Ray Allen in his prime.

Well you are the one who brought black holes in this…and we all know time travel is possible if you use the gravitation force of the black hold to loop around and go back in time.

 I mean come on man….do you need a refresher course….its all ball bearings these days.

by John P on Feb 15, 2011 7:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Thanks for posting this Tom.

My sense of this is that almost any given possession is meant to lead to a Kevin Martin shot or a Luis Scola shot. Martin actually seems to be a pretty good passer when asked, and I can’t recall many times that I’ve been annoyed with a shot he’s taken.

"Each in turn... volunteered his suggestions, his invaluable suggestions."

Twitter - xiane1
The Dreamshake

by Xiane on Feb 16, 2011 12:57 AM CST reply actions  

The only ones I can think of

Are when he’s isoing, and before making a move puts up a three. I know it helps set up his pump fake, but the percentage on those has to be pretty low.

by Patrick Harrel on Feb 16, 2011 6:43 AM CST up reply actions  

I think a fun statistic to see would be % of shots he takes that are closely guarded.

A defended shot would be typical methods of guarding.
Either the defender has his arms above a 100 degrees or within 5 inches of his face.

by AlDe2356 on Feb 16, 2011 2:07 AM CST reply actions  

There are situations when I wish KM would shoot more. In the MINN endgame, he wanted the ball in his hands.

Kevin is not as athletic or strong as Kobe or DWade or Melo, or as consistent as Ellis or Allen but having watched him this year, I’ve just been amazed at how crafty he is at scoring. What he lacks in athleticism or skill, he makes up with technique.

His offensive genius shows best during games when he is not shooting well. He will just find a variety of ways to score, primarily throwing himself at his defender. He won’t have a long stretch of poor scoring games, because after a bad game, he will most likely bounce back the very next game.

by RoxBeliever on Feb 16, 2011 4:07 AM CST reply actions  

Nice thing about it is

when his shot is falling, he is a machine. I was in the stands a while back when he went off for 40, we were actually feeling sorry for the guy guarding him.

by makinmajik on Feb 16, 2011 8:56 AM CST up reply actions  

Good post

But the part I didn’t understand was why Dwayne Wade’s assists would go down with the addition of Lebron and Bosh. It seems like Wade would pass more and get more assists by having better guys to pass to.

by Gulder_Roy on Feb 16, 2011 4:54 AM CST reply actions  

definitely lebron is the primary facilitator

james is playing point-forward, d-wade is playing shooting guard. chalmers/arroyo are only there to fill up numbers.

i think it is possible that james could potentially average nearly a triple double in a heat uniform, once this team gels better. i think he’s about 3 assists and 2 rebounds off that mark this season.

by sohum on Feb 17, 2011 9:50 AM CST up reply actions  

...
(First, I’d like to welcome our Sci-Fi junkies who saw the title of this post and immediately jumped on it. Apologies if you weren’t looking for a basketball blog. If you look).

This reminds me of a time when I accidentally did a search for “supermassive black hoes” instead of “supermassive black holes”…I got some unexpected results ;-)

As for the post, good stuff. It appears that Kevin knows why he is a Rocket.

by grahaminator on Feb 17, 2011 11:26 AM CST reply actions  

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