So this season hasn't exactly gone like we wanted. Counting on Yao was a bad idea from the start, and the entire Aaron Brooks situation hasn't made things any easier on us. Luckily for us, we're still in the playoff hunt. As I write this, the Rockets stand at 26-31, a full 5 games out of the playoff picture. The Houston Rockets have one of the easisest post-All Star schedules in the league, and the trade deadline is on Thursday. Call me crazy, but I think the stars are aligning for one last major push that will get us into the playofs.
Something that has been bothering me is the fact that people think we would be "one and done" in the playoffs as an 8th seed. As a fan of the NFL team Seattle Seahawks, I just went through the same situation with the 2011 playoffs, where most people wanted us to lose our last regular season game against the St. Louis Rams in hopes of a high draft pick. The Seahawks won that game, and went on to upset the defending champions, the New Orleans Saints. So, the question I'm asking is, why not us?
The chance of an upset is not as low as you would think. In the last 5 years, the higher seeded team holds a 14-6 series advantage in the Western Conference first round. That means 30% of the time, the lower seeded team will beat the higher seeded team. Might seem like a low number, but that's 30% of teams that were, according to the standings, WORSE than the other team. That's a little less than a 1/3 chance. This included your 2009 Houston Rockets who defeated the Portland Trail Blazers in the first round. Think about that statistic again, and then remember that the Rockets are much better than their record shows. I point you to two specific games, vs. LAL and @ BOS. These two games show that the Rockets can play with elite teams and come out on top. The Rockets constantly play with a work-hard and hustle attitudie, two factors that play a huge role in beating teams that are more talented than they are.
For such an upset to happen, the Rockets would definetly have to make the playoffs first, correct? The Rockets have an oppertunity with these last ~30 games to do just that. As fans our job is to try to emotionally fuel our team as much as possible, and anybody who has ever seen the Rockets play infront of a packed Toyota Center knows exactly what I'm talking about. So if there was any point to this fanpost it would be to just ask you to stop rooting for a draft pick and start rooting for an upset. Of course the Trade Deadline could change all of this.