I don't think the focus is on Memphis. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if they win the rest of their games on their schedule: LAC, SAC, NO, POR, and LAC again.
So here's the situation and prediction...
HOUSTON (41-36) REMAINING SCHEDULE:
TUE 05 VS SAC (42-36) Most likely win.
WED 06 VS NO (43-36) Tough game, can and MUST win. We're 1-2 with NO in relatively close games.
SAT 09 VS LAC (44-36) Most likely win. We're 1-1 this season in close games, but have home court advantage and they're coming off a back-to-back with the Mavs.
MON 11 VS DAL (44-37) Could win. We're 0-2 on DAL this season, but close games. Let's just assume the loss.
WED 13 VS MIN (45-37) Likely win. We're 2-1.
ROCKETS FINISH OUT WITH PREDICTED 45-37 SEASON
NEW ORLEANS (44-33) REMAINING SCHEDULE:
WED 06 VS HOU (44-34) See above.
FRI 08 VS PHX (45-34) Winning record with PHX, NO wins.
SUN 10 VS MEM (45-35) They're 2-1 against MEM in close games, but I think MEM is playing better ball now as evident from their game a few days ago. MEM wins.
MON 11 VS UTA (45-36) Pretty even match this season, recently won a close one. However, UTA wins since NO is coming off back-to-back with an important game against MEM, UTA surprise win. UTA is also rested for a day.
WED 13 VS DAL (45-37)They've had zero luck against DAL, not even close. DAL wins.
HORNETS FINISH OUT WITH 45-37 SEASON AND MAKE PLAYOFFS DUE TO DIVISION STANDING...SUCKS.
So In my opinion, all eyes are on that HOU/DAL game. That could be the deal breaker there, where HOU can end up with the 46-36 overall record to unseat NO which means HOU must win every remaining game. It's possible, but extremely difficult.