Houston Rockets v. Washington Wizards Preview
The Wizards roll into Houston tonight to face the Rockets fresh off their 7 game streak getting snapped. The Wizards enter tonight’s game with a recent change on their squad too. Washington fired Flip Saunders earlier this week amidst their 2-15 start. Washington sits at 3-15 with Randy Whittman winning his debut as the Wizards coach over the Charlotte Bobcats 92-75. Interestingly enough Washington also failed to pick Javale McGee’s option which begs the question as to whether or not Ted Leonsis is going to fully commit to his initial philosophy when he bought the Washington Wizards, that being to go ahead and burn it to the ground and build through the draft. Currently the Wizards employ the BOYD (Bring Out Your Dead) strategy in which they acquire draft picks and eat bad contracts for cap space to turn it around later. Enough about the Wizards, let’s focus on the Rockets. The Rockets have declined options on all of their 09 players and they have subsequently disappeared from the lineup. This is of course after only one game but I am confident in my stance that they have been exiled to Corpus Christi after their options were declined.
Point Guard
It’s sacrilege to say that anyone could even be on Kyle Lowry’s level these days and don’t expect me to be the one that goes ahead and says it. Kyle Lowry has been playing great. He does everything you ask of a point guard, dishing the ball and rebounding when his shot isn’t dropping. Every night he’s a triple double threat, which is fantastic. John is having a year in flux and has regressed a little since his rookie season. I have faith he’ll right the shit, under Flip Saunders Washington was a sad sight. His turnovers are up but against the Rockets last time he almost dropped us. We have a tendency of letting teams and players run wild on us
Advantage: Rockets
Shooting Guard
Kevin Martin has honestly started to get his game back together and the Rockets are noticing it. He’s rebounding to help atone for his down scoring numbers and even starting to get into passing lanes recording regular steals in every game. These steals aren’t other players deflecting and doing the work, either, they’re him actually picking them, which is wonderful. The downside is he’s actively putting his team in bad places or wasting possessions when the whistle doesn’t get blown or he can’t just run past his man on offense he has always been a first step or spot up guy. Nick Young is a volume shooter but if he’s anything, he’s effective. He’s putting up 16 points per game and is a man who offenses consistently have to account for. I’m surprised he hasn’t been lagging given he’s on a qualifying offer this year but he’s essentially a duplicate of Kevin Martin only trading some efficiency for the ability to make his own offense.
Advantage: Even
[Note by Xiane, 01/27/12 12:36 PM CST ] Looks like Courtney Lee may get the start tonight in place of Martin, who is contending with plantar fasciitis. Lee will do fine, but this particular injury worries me a lot with Martin. I expect he'll be in and out of lineups for the foreseeable future.
Small Forward
Chandler Parsons v. Rashard Lewis
Parsons has replaced Chase Budinger as The Great White Hope and inexplicably Budinger hasn’t fallen out of the lineup with Williams actually contributing in the minutes he got but I don’t pretend to know the inner workings of this franchise. All I know is Chandler Parsons makes me happy on the inside with his rebounding, effort, and hustle. The team looks inspired when he’s on the floor and he’s 6’10", which is helpful to bother any SF in this league. He faces off against another 6’10" forward in Rashard Lewis’s corpse. Lewis logged 23 minutes in his first game under Whittman along with a starting spot (Hence the reason he is here in the preview). Lewis’s shot, rebounding, and relevancy departed with him at the beginning of this season to the point that I’m going to be ballsy here.
Advantage: Rockets
Power Forward
Luis Scola v. Andray Blatche
Luis Scola has been logging way too many minutes and his production is suffering. Last season’s knee surgery really did spell the beginning of the end, in my eyes. Agile PFs who are willing to draw him out of the paint because closing out is not something he’s a fan of regularly abuse him. He’s still crafty and able to confuse his defenders but there comes a point where you have to question what his productivity can be with rim protectors around, which he also benefits from. Andray Blatche has come back from injury and has been productive and steadfast in production. I think he’ll see the most improvement of a non-John Wall Wizard from the coaching change. He likes his mid to long range jumper and it’s not really his game but if you leave him open, he’ll stand a good chance of knocking the mid down. He’s better fit for a post-player and he’s been using his skills wisely this season. I think he’s terrified of not being in Washington.
Advantage: Even
Center
Samuel Dalembert v. Javale McGee
I look forward to this battle. Dalembert has the strength, experience, and discipline, McGee has the fire, the youth, and seems to be putting it all together. McGee averages one more block per game than Sammy and across the board McGee has better base stats (Rebounds, points, and blocks). I think in regards to this game my focus will be on strength. McGee’s athleticism can be kept in check by Sam’s strength and Javale has a tendency to get frustrated with centers who can be dominant defensively. At the end of the day I think this one will be close.
Advantage: Even
Bench
Wizards: Jan Vesely, Kevin Seraphin, Shelvin Mack, Jordan Crawford, Chris Singleton, Trevor Booker
Rockets: Courtney Lee, Goran Dragic, Patrick Patterson, Jordan Hill (Maybe)
Advantage: Wizards. Sorry, but you don’t get credit for players you don’t put on the floor, so Jordan doesn’t get weight in this scenario.
Prediction: Rockets 108 Wizards 104 I sincerely want the Rockets to win here but I can see dropping one off the Bucks hangover and handing one over to a Wizards team that has a new coach and a new lease on life.
Reminders
Don't forget to post your game prediction here for Chuck's (That's right, I reduced it from the abbreviation) fantasy game thread. Remember, the more you guess wrong, the higher up I go in the standings!
Don't forget to vote for Kyle Lowry in the 2012 All Star Game
Bullets Forever (SBNation Washington, great community, great writers, educate yourself cause they have a lot to share)
My most recent musical obsession, stuck in my head quite a bit (Entertainment)
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I think we bounce back from our loss
I predict a Rockets win 104-87
"I always keep a ball in the car. You never know."
-Hakeem Olajuwon
"Stern Sucks"
-Me
I like the Rockets 105-93
And I think if we can keep Wall from getting easy jumpers early he won’t have confidence like he did last time. I felt like he hit a few shots and just felt like he could do anything, and he did. Also, the Rockets pulled away last time by allowing the Wiz to beat themselves by taking long twos all night. It was only once they started working in transition that they crept back into the game.
Was too far to huck a beer at a Stro’s player as per bone’s request. Jess (girlfriend) said I was too far, I said challenge accepted, a security guard said guess again.-BD34
That is the reason I don't go to Battle Red Blog. I would be too rational and guys would flag my posts as spam.-batman713
Rockets 112 - Wizards 90
Rockets are mad.
Rockets win big.
Kyle Lowry remembers how to shoot.
I can honestly see the Rockets playing worse than they have been
but I can’t pick the Wiz. Rockets win 95-92
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 11:03 AM CST reply actions
101-93
Not as close as the score looks. Also, you should have put Parsons vs. Lewis contract #‘s up there. Because that’s just funny.
I'm a household name... at my house.
Michael Vick is the best throwing running back of all time.
My put your name on it prediction for the Housotn Texans.
10-6, with a first round playoff upset over either the Ravens or Steelers.
Nah. We don't play numbers on the court, we play people.
So contract figures don’t mean squat to me.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
Martin might not play tonight
Jonathan Feigen on twitter
Kevin Martin will be a game-time decision tonight with plantar fasciitis. Courtney Lee would start if Martin is out.
Plantar Fasciitis…ouch
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 11:06 AM CST reply actions
Maybe a good thing. T-Will or C-Bud can hopefully show something adn crack the rotation…
or McHale plays Dragic, C.Lee and Lowry 40 minutes each.
We've been playing him for so many minutes im not surprised
I hope McHale can find a way to cut Lowry’s playing time a little.
"I always keep a ball in the car. You never know."
-Hakeem Olajuwon
"Stern Sucks"
-Me
by Rockets4LIFE on Jan 27, 2012 12:26 PM CST up reply actions
trade idea from Sheridan hoops
Trade #1
New York Knicks receive: Luis Scola, Goran Dragic, and New York’s own 2012 first round draft pick
Houston Rockets receive: Amar’e Stoudemire, Toney Douglas, and Jerome Jordan
Why the Knicks do it
Here, the draft pick is major. The 2012 draft will be the deepest since 2003 and the Knicks are currently shut out. Houston would convey New York’s own 2012 first round pick back to New York (the Knicks sent it to Houston as a part of the cap clearing Tracy McGrady trade back in February 2010). Better yet, Luis Scola would give the Knicks something they lack, even with Stoudemire—an offensive post threat. Dragic has shown flashes of brilliance in his short career. He flourished playing behind Steve Nash in Phoenix and could probably man the point guard position fairly well for the Knicks along with Baron Davis.
Why the Rockets do it
The Rockets have managed their cap and assets well over the past few years but lack a primary offensive option that is capable of carrying the load on a nightly basis. With Kyle Lowry playing the best basketball of his career this year and Kevin Martin drilling jumpers from the perimeter, Stoudemire would fit in nicely. Samuel Dalembert could help protect Stoudemire and his defensive deficiencies. If Houston is ever to become more than a team with a lot of assets and cap space, they’ll need to eventually take a risk and trade for someone who can help them score and distract opposing defenses.
by Christopher Dion Harris on Jan 27, 2012 11:32 AM CST via iPhone app reply actions
oh, 97-89 Houston
by Christopher Dion Harris on Jan 27, 2012 11:35 AM CST via iPhone app up reply actions
I approve this deal despite my undying love for Scola and the fun I have watching Dragic
Pus, I’m a big Stoudemire fan. However, at the current rate the Knicks are going idk if it would just be better to hold the pick
"San Antonio is the best falling down team in the league"- Bill Worrell
by TheLastDynasty on Jan 27, 2012 11:42 AM CST up reply actions
How are those knees?
I’d be worried if I was thinking about making that deal
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 12:02 PM CST up reply actions
That contract is a deadly one as well
basically 20 million for 3 more seasons…good lord
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 12:06 PM CST up reply actions
oh, 97-89 Houston
I’d be nervous but we were willing to gamble on his knees earlier so I think Morey would do it again.
by Christopher Dion Harris on Jan 27, 2012 12:33 PM CST via iPhone app up reply actions
Horrible, never going to happen.
Dallas and Houston fan making it work. Gig 'em!
I like the trade but i heard
Amare has bad knees, and that he can’t get insurance on them. Lowry will be in most of the time at the point,but i dont like Tony Douglas or trust Flynn. We should bounce back and win tonight. We need to go on another streak with our tough division.
by since86rocketsfan on Jan 27, 2012 2:01 PM CST up reply actions
the tix to this game are surprisingly expensive
i think it’ll be close. and i can actually see the wizards winning this. but let’s go with home court.
rockets 100-94 wizards
The $29 cheap-seat special against the Generals is the same price Minnesota charges for tickets to see Wolves-Lakers.
“surprisingly expensive” indeed
Yes the apparent solution to ill will created by the lockout is...
raise prices!
Not sure I agree with your marketing work there, Rockets.
"Each in turn... volunteered his suggestions, his invaluable suggestions."
well, as you've pointed out
very inelastic demand curve….
If most of your seats are bought by corporate buyers, and they’ll shell out basically whatever you want to charge, then you may as well keep prices high.
haha yeah
during the milwaukee game they were like “29-95” plan. with $95 lower bowl tickets…. with a beer and a slice of pizza!
i bought two lower bowl tickets to the spurs-rockets game in SA on the 5th for $100. factor in dinner and the drive over to SATX, i still come out with money to spare.
ridiculous.
I got NBA league pass for around 110 dollars at the beginning of this season
Why the hell would I pay 95 for lower bowl tickets against the WIZARDS?
Minnesotan Rockets fan
Rockets 101-85
"San Antonio is the best falling down team in the league"- Bill Worrell
by TheLastDynasty on Jan 27, 2012 11:43 AM CST reply actions
Melo out tomorrow night against the Rockets
helps our chances of improving the Knicks pick
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 12:04 PM CST reply actions
You're the one who thinks that Nick Young and Kevin Martin are equals
Check out The Dream Shake.
by Patrick Harrel on Jan 27, 2012 1:06 PM CST up reply actions
I have advanced stats that say at 8PM EST Nick Young has a better TS% on Fridays in January than Kevin Martin
Therefore I claim a victory.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
No advanced statistics
Martin is a much better scorer who does so more efficiently, neither are accomplished defenders though Martin has stepped up his game on that end, Kevin Martin contributes more passing and rebounding wise. I don’t know how you can make the case that they’re “even matches”.
Check out The Dream Shake.
by Patrick Harrel on Jan 27, 2012 1:19 PM CST up reply actions
I'd read the conclusion of that match up.
“Young is like Kevin Martin only he trades some efficiency to be able to create his own offense.” I hate to disappoint you but Martin’s pull up 3’s that don’t flush, his ability to pawn the ball off if his first step doesn’t work, and put teammates in awkward position if he isn’t wide open leaves room for discussion because Nick Young actually creates his own offense and will often work within the flow of the offense. You can disagree all you like but just because you don’t like what I’m saying doesn’t mean it’s wrong.
I agree that Martin is more efficient but how Young does his work is a significant part of my appraisal. As is the fact that I’ve watched a HELL of a lot more Rockets games than Wizards games but even I can see in my time following the Wiz that Young is comparable.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
I'm high on Nick Young as well
he gets put in so many bad situations because that half court offense isn’t any good, yet he still makes and creates shots. I think if Adelman was given Nick Young, he could do similar work he did with Martin.
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 1:27 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
If only Nick Young had a warm and loving home.
Actually the TWolves would be a perfect destination for him.
"Each in turn... volunteered his suggestions, his invaluable suggestions."
Not really "some efficiency," though.
Trading about 50 points in true shooting, and Kevin Martin’s usage rate is essentially the same as Young’s (this year, it’s slightly higher. KM’s 24.7 vs Young’s 23.6% across their careers), so I’m really suspicious of the “create his own offense” thing.
by Only_A_Lad on Jan 27, 2012 3:04 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Yeah I found that weird too.
Also I know Scola is having a bad season but Andre Blatche kills the Wizards more than he helps them.
The point of my writing has been accomplished.
You’re talking about it.
Also, Blatche coming back post-injury has actually been more about him fitting in and not ruining the offense. You’re thinking of Blatche historically.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
So you're aiming for Colin Cowherd territory?
"Each in turn... volunteered his suggestions, his invaluable suggestions."
In the sense that people talk.
I’m not out to make people agree with me for sharing my opinion. People are free to disagree, so long as they talk and know what they’re talking about I’m happy to discuss. Isn’t that the point of this blog?
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
It's true, I don't follow them.
But from what I’ve seen of them, they’re a bunch of athletes with minimal basketball skills, plus Nick Young.
I won't predict here, my predictions have all been in losses.
"Each in turn... volunteered his suggestions, his invaluable suggestions."
Rockets 101- Wizards 94
Dallas and Houston fan making it work. Gig 'em!
...
Parsons has replaced Chase Budinger as The Great White Hope and inexplicably Budinger hasn’t fallen out of the lineup with Williams actually contributing in the minutes he got but I don’t pretend to know the inner workings of this franchise.
The team has performed much, much worse with Terrence on the floor. The team gives up nearly 5 points more per 100 possessions vs when he’s off the floor and gives up nearly 9 points more/100 possessions. Oh and Budinger is out of the rotation.
Check out The Dream Shake.
by Patrick Harrel on Jan 27, 2012 1:06 PM CST reply actions 2 recs
Slant it however you want, I saw a more fluid offense with Williams running the show.
Points per possession is something I really don’t care about because it’s impacted by pace and circumstance of the game, which just spitting numbers out as though they’re definitive will never be able to remedy.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
It's not impacted by pace
But my problem with your logic is that all you cite is the “eye test” which will never be completely adequate. You say the bench plays so much better with him running the offense, but all you have is your anecdotal evidence that the team looks so “fluid”. I think he doesn’t, so I go see and show statistically that the team in fact does perform worse offensively with him running the show.
Check out The Dream Shake.
by Patrick Harrel on Jan 27, 2012 1:21 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Again, you throw out numbers, in no context, and with no external observation.
I hate to disappoint you but numbers for numbers sake won’t ever prove anything unless the picture around them is developed. It’s what I hate about reading that kind of crap consistently. Yay, you found some numbers, now let’s evaluate where those numbers come from, how they are weighted, where the sample size was taken from. Instead of caring about the purity of the sample you are content with the number and state a conclusion following from it. It’s sickening how distrustful some people can be about just watching the damn game and drawing sensible conclusions. Parsons is widely praised as having a huge impact on this team but if you look at scores and some advanced metrics he’s not really that special. His impact on this team? Huge in his first year.
Maireann croí éadrom i bhfad.
Interesting that those same advanced metrics I referred to reflected that impact you talked about
Parsons is rated as the 3rd best Rocket in that way.
The numbers I used are not some crappy statistics I just made up. This is his second straight year of the team performing horribly with him on the floor. Last year, the split was even worse. I’m willing to accept the sample size as adequate. There are compounding factors certainly (the bench’s performance as a whole is one), but Terrence is the worst rated bench player on the team over the last 2 years.
The eye test has value in evaluating players, but I have to seriously question your thoughts when they are contradicted by a third straight coach’s benching of Williams. He isn’t some “misunderstood but immeasurably talented soul ready to break out,” he’s a ball-stopping, lazy player who can’t score and struggles with turnovers. I’m sorry that I value Kevin McHale, Rick Adelman, and Avery Johnson’s opinions over you.
Check out The Dream Shake.
by Patrick Harrel on Jan 27, 2012 1:34 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
I agree with you Patrick.
I think too much weight is put on stats on this site. While they are a great tool, other things that do not show up on stats are difference makers. What is funny is when the same people that act as if its all about the stats seem to throw them aside if they go against THEIR opinion.
what's up with Javale McGee not getting a qualifying offer?
I think he rates pretty well statistically, and his athleticism (and length) jump out with the eye test.
Anyone else think he might be a worthwhile target in free agency next year?
by Moochie's Fro on Jan 27, 2012 2:46 PM CST up reply actions
Isn't the qualifying offer something done after the season?
he’s a restricted free agent so they can match any contract offer…right?
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 2:52 PM CST up reply actions
Has he even been on the floor
for 100 possessions?
"Stability is a factor in teams that win the championship. But if you stabilize on a team that's going to end up short of that, then all you're doing is spinning your wheels in the 45-win range."-----Daryl Morey
by fanoflosingteams on Jan 27, 2012 7:05 PM CST up reply actions
Rockets 103 – Wizards 95…
.
I had to stop arguing with drunks, Steeler fans, and all other fools.
It was making my brick wall jealous...
.
Dedicated to the "Pride of the Steelers"
.
Rockets 101-93
I am hoping to see some of the bottom of the bench tonight.
Struggles continue
I’m guessing it’s will be a gritty, “ugly” game. But the good guys will put it together for a win anyway.
Rockets win 96 – 88
by Slackary on Jan 27, 2012 2:40 PM CST via mobile reply actions
I take the rockets
just can’t see the wizards winning against kyle lowry. Rockets win 106 – 82
Suggestion:
Wouldn’t bother listing our bench on the previews, as McHale never uses it.
"Hakeem couldn't kick your ass cuz you were too
close kissin his!"- Sir Charles to Kenny Smith.
This game will be decided with one winner and one loser.
One team will win, the other will lose.
Dallas and Houston fan making it work. Gig 'em!
John Wall is a Rocket-killer
No Martin, offense fails to keep up… Rockets lose 105-99
by Carlos_HoustonSportsFanatic on Jan 27, 2012 3:15 PM CST reply actions
Rockets 112-99
Eric Wright and Aaron Berry live #Regan
When anyone says, "I’ll kick your ass" its implied that they’ll be using Hanson’s leg. -Leonuro
I have a twitter: Follow Me
Rockets start strong, finish slow
But still pull it out, 98 – 89
My thoughts are like Brian Cushing on the field: Everywhere.
Congrats to Carlos_HoustonSportsFanatic for being the only person to get the last game right!!
Props to you, sir.
Rockets4LIFE-283
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OJ ATM-259
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twinkilling0303-238
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BuckeyeBob-191
Irish Trasher-184
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Christopher Dion Harris-143
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arnold p-141
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Rockets78-102
AllenOU-96
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lucneguye92-92
Xiane-88
"I’m not dumb. I just have a command of thoroughly useless information." Bill Watterson~Calvin and Hobbes
by The Chuckwagon has rolled on on Jan 27, 2012 5:19 PM CST reply actions
yer close, buddy....
"I’m not dumb. I just have a command of thoroughly useless information." Bill Watterson~Calvin and Hobbes
by The Chuckwagon has rolled on on Jan 27, 2012 5:36 PM CST up reply actions
I've been bad at guessing scores
can’t get it right to save my life
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 5:38 PM CST up reply actions
Hey, you're doing better than me!!
"I’m not dumb. I just have a command of thoroughly useless information." Bill Watterson~Calvin and Hobbes
by The Chuckwagon has rolled on on Jan 27, 2012 5:42 PM CST up reply actions
You're the architect
I’m just trying to be Neo
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 5:45 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Rockets win 106-95
"I’m not dumb. I just have a command of thoroughly useless information." Bill Watterson~Calvin and Hobbes
by The Chuckwagon has rolled on on Jan 27, 2012 5:19 PM CST reply actions
Anybody know if we have the Grizzlies pick from the Thabeet deal?
I don’t know if we still have it or we traded it in the Brad Miller draft day deal
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 5:47 PM CST reply actions
Rockets win
99-93
"Hakeem couldn't kick your ass cuz you were too
close kissin his!"- Sir Charles to Kenny Smith.
high scorring game for us i think
rckets 107 – wizards 94
On a side note untill Twill actually does somethin on a basketball court in the NBA this season ill side with 3 NBA head coaches and consider him not worthy of playing time you all should too
The wizards are 0-7 on the road losing by average of 18pts and only by less than 14 once!!!!
Rockets 105-87
Oh and Washington bench looks terrible. Vesely, Singleton and Booker are pretty good but they’re not better than Dragic, Lee and PPat. Jordan Crawford may be one of the most horrible players to watch on a court, think of Rafer Alston in worst. Seraphin show good things but never play.
Should the Rockets go after Chris Kaman?
Sounds like the Hornets are making him available for trade. Would be good to have a true center on the bench to back up Dalembert.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
I have a feeling they'll be looking for a really good deal
he’s an expiring 14 million I think. Probably not for us
by twinkilling0303 on Jan 27, 2012 6:57 PM CST up reply actions
Basically this.
As an expiring contract he’s worth quite a bit, and he’s a decent backup center (and that’s it). So, yeah, I guess I’d be down for it if we could do it for like Hill/Thabeet/Williams, but I doubt that will do it.
He’s like Jordan Hill + Defense – Good Sense Not to Shoot.
Hill + Thabeet + Williams makes sense
They would still get the same amount of expiring money out of it, right, but with more flexibility + can assess whether any of the three are worth re-signing?
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
eh
That’s the thing, though. It’s just a net zero trade. I really don’t think there’s anything to assess with those guys, you need to give up something else. What do you give? A 2nd-round pick? A future first seems way too much, but a second rounder seems to be way too little.
Would you consider including Budinger in a package?
I wouldn’t even necessarily mind something like Hill, Thabeet, Flynn, and Budinger. I think Hill, Flynn, and Budinger all have some value, they’re just not getting much playing time in McHale’s narrow rotation.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com

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