Here's the chart i made. You can refer to it later. All you have to know right now is what my thresholds were.
I took 3 years of mid-range data, grabbed all the above-average mid-range shooters and made a few thresholds.
1. They had to shoot over 40% in one of these years.
2. They had to shoot over 4 shots in at least 2 of these years.
The reason the rankings need to be normalized is because the Mid Range Attempts for each player vary wildly. A Player that attempted 3 shots would have a higher ranking than a person who attempted 6 shots despite having the same FG%. So I normalized it.
-------------The JUICY PART--------------
1. Brand and West are the best of the bunch. Their production has dropped significantly but they are still much better. Bass might actually be still improving in this area. Judging by this bracket, Elton Brand might be a better buy since even a drop next year still sees him as better than the rest.
2. Kevin Garnett is a historically great volume shooter. And has been historically.
3. Jason Smith and Marc Gasol are the same types of shooter. They actually don't shoot enough Mid Range Shots to be significantly predictable. They might be good one year and terrible the next. the variance between 4 and 5 shots taken per game is SIGNIFICANT. Those that take 5 shots and over are much more predictable.Namely, I wouldn't trade for Jason Smith and expect him to hit those Mid-Range shots for you.
4. Dirk is the probably one of the best mid range shooters in the game. The 1.00 variance means he takes a lot and he hits a lot. He is slightly worse than KG.
5. The next group is Henderson, Durant, and Bosh. Henderson is a SG, I know but he takes a bunch of midrange shots. I felt i had to include him as a second string comparison.
6. melo, bryant, lbj, jefferson, lma are terrible at the long 2. In the case of bryant, he's been bad at the long 2 for some time quite a while. When the two adjusted numbers are as close together as it is with Melo, it's really not an injury season that plagues Melo. It's just a volume shooting at a low percentage. He's def. shot worse than his peers injury or no injury. LMA and Jefferson have a bit of variance which indicate injury but even in their best form they weren't spectacular.
Duncan and Horford really fell off the map. They used to be considerably much better. This indicates a permanent drop in mid-range production.
Boozer is just terrible. He's all over the place.
In conclusion, if you want someone to space the floor, it's West, Brand and Brandon Bass.
West and Brand are old but even on their worst days, they've been better than Bass on his best. But Bass is 25 years old and he'll have more effective minutes in him.
West will be more expensive and it can be argued that Brand is actually BETTER than him.
The best scenario would be to grab Brand and Bass for 1 year + 1 year team option.
*******(how to calculate)*******************
filter to midrange shots. I did a lot of this manually. I can hold a lot of information in my head and just write down all the outliers. Copy down 20 or so people who take a lot of shots and have a >40% fg rate.
Raw Ranking is calculated by taking the Mid Range FG% and dividing it by FGA. It's basically FGM/FGA^2. You basically get smaller FG% number to work with.
Next is to create a Bracket Raw Ranking. Guys that take 10 shots with 40% accuracy would be 40/10 or 4.00 Raw Rank.
So if you have a 5.00 Raw Rank taking 10 shots, you would minus it by 4 and get a 1.00 Ranking which is pretty good (Kevin Garnett good).
One of the problems with NBA stats is that they do not do it by a per 48 minute basis. That might skew the results a bit.