We all get that Morey is a stats guru. He has redesigned the roster to reflect his image as to what he thinks a NBA team should look like. But how much further is his influence spreading into the team as a whole?
Today I am focusing on shot selection. What do we know about shot selection? Foul shots are great. At the rim is good. Three point shots are good. Mid range shots are very very bad. Usually I categorize shots as less than 8 feet, mid range and three point shots. This article focuses on the at the rim shots, three to 23 feet shots and three point shots. How can a shot from five feet be bad? Well let us see.
The first graph shows the at the rim shots taken by every team in the league. The league FG% on these shots is 64.6%.
Houston took 37.8% of their shots at the rim last season.
Mid range shots are bad. Let me repeat that. Mid range shots are bad. Houston was by far and away the best team at minimizing mid ranged shots. The fact that a 4 foot mid range shot is almost as bad as a 22 foot mid ranged shot took me by surprise. The league FG% for shots between 3 and 23 feet is about 39%. Houston took a league least 26.1% of bad shots between 3 and 23 feet. The league average for these shots is about 42.5% of total shots.
Next in the list is three point shots. These are very good shots trailing only free throws and at the rim shots in effectiveness. Houston was second in the league to NYK in the number of three point shots taken. They had an eFG% of 54.9%. The league average eFG was 53.8%.
What to expect next season? The subtraction of Patterson and the addition of Howard should auger well for a reduction of mid range shots and an addition to the percentage of shots at the rim and three point shots. The Howard effect on offense should not be underestimated. Those interior passes that Asik could not catch will be limited. And teams cannot leave Howard to stop the dribble drive penetration like they did with Asik. More Moreyball.