We're all pretty excited here at TDS at everything that's been percolating across the Association these days. Over the course of the last four years or so the Rockets have taken strides from the middle of the pack to a legit contender. Just the very thought that Houston is oft mentioned as a potential destination for virtually every big fish this offseason is as unbelievable as it is flattering. But before the dust settles and the chips fall, lets take a look at some of the best and worst outcomes that could take place over the next few days.
Obviously, the best case scenario would have us landing the big fish. We've made our pitches to Carmelo and have turned our attentions to Chris Bosh once again. Kyle Lowry opted to stay in Toronto, good for him. But the idea that Melo or Bosh could join the team gives me a boner the size of a space shuttle. The combination of Harden, Howard, Bosh/Melo would be the most star studded line up since Clyde Drexler, Charles Barkley and Hakeem Olajuwon.
Landing one of these guys is predicated on two things, I believe. the first is moving Jeremy Lin. For weeks we've been hearing how Morey already has trades lined up for Lin but what if that falls through? The game would be over if they can't get Lin's salary off the books. But it's not exactly like we'd "lose". We'd still have the space to add value to our bench and, not for nothing; Lin doesn't suck. One year at 8 million would not be the end of the world.
We also have to hope that no one makes Chandler Parsons a ridiculous offer. But more on this in a second.
Losing on Melo or Bosh could easily become a scenario where we don't exactly get what we want, but end up getting what we need.
There's been no indication that the Rockets are interested in someone like Lance Stephenson but would anyone of us be truly upset at the thought of him playing alongside Patrick Beverley? These two would could clog any lane and plug any hole in our defense just by using their giant brass balls. Anyone saying that Stephenson would be a terrible basketball acquisition has no imagination.
It would be interesting to see who Morey would go after if everyone at the top of the wish list is gone. We put together a list of the top ten guys we'd like to see come to Houston but expanding the list from 10 to 20 could see us bringing in a player like Al-Farouq Aminu.
We have guys that can shoot and score. What we dont have is people who can stop the other guys from shooting and scoring. Aminu has made a nice reputation for himself as a competent stopper and a tremendous rebounder. He's an unrestricted free agent and he would come fairly cheap at an estimated 2 million a year.
The absolute worst case scenario, and a possibility that keeps me awake at night is a situation where the Rockets are about to pull the trigger on landing a whale but then someone like the Lakers offers Parsons a deal well above what he is actually worth.
Think about it. If you're Mitch Kupchak and you're dealing with an angry Kobe who doesn't buy into any rebuilding crap why wouldn't you make a big offer to Parsons just to screw the Rockets and tie up cap space? Parsons is young and pliable, he'd be a star in Los Angeles. But it doesn't even have to be the Lakers to do it. Parsons would be a fool to not even consider signing offers from other teams where perhaps he would be in a better basketball situation and would be even closer to contending for a title.
I believe the most likely scenario is we miss out on Bosh and Melo, trade Lin and stock up and overspend and serviceable second tier acquisitions. It's not like this roster is in need of major upgrades. We already have a tremendous nucleus in Harden/Howard/Beverley. But still, when you look at the landscape as it is now its exciting to imagine what could be. Whatever happens, we can be glad that even if we miss out on that third star the Rockets are still positioned to do well next season with our roster as it is now.
These sure are exciting times. We best enjoy them while we can. Happy Fourth of July, everyone.